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Doce Mel vs Grapiuna Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2008
Doce Mel Logo

Doce Mel

1 - 0
FT
Grapiuna Logo

Grapiuna

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Doce Mel in this Baiano 2 2008 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Doce Mel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Doce Mel
30%
Draws
54%
Grapiuna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grapiuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Grapiuna have won more games recently than Doce Mel.
  • Win probability leans Doce Mel's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Doce Mel Clean Sheet 20%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doce Mel Grapiuna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.77 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2008 Baiano 2
Doce Mel vs Grapiuna
1:0
Aug 10, 2008 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Doce Mel
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doce Mel 40 / 100
Grapiuna 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doce Mel Grapiuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Doce Mel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grapiuna let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Doce Mel scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Doce Mel stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grapiuna
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Doce Mel

(Home)
26 Feb
Alagoinhas
0 : 0
Doce Mel
11 Feb
Doce Mel
0 : 1
Bahia
08 Feb
Itabuna
1 : 1
Doce Mel
04 Feb
Doce Mel
1 : 2
Juazeirense
29 Jan
Barcelona FC
3 : 0
Doce Mel
Page 1 of 6

Grapiuna

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
14 Jun
Grapiuna
0 : 7
Feira FC
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madre de Deus 6 3 3 0 10:4 12
2 Juazeirense 6 2 4 0 11:5 10
3 Camacariense 6 1 2 3 5:12 5
4 Galicia 6 1 1 4 9:14 4
Promotion - Baiano 2 2008 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guanambi AC 8 4 4 0 8:3 16
2 Serrano 8 4 2 2 8:6 14
3 Doce Mel 8 3 4 1 8:4 13
4 Grapiuna 8 2 1 5 6:8 7
5 Cruzeiro Cruz das Almas 8 1 1 6 6:15 4
Promotion - Baiano 2 2008 (Play Offs)