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Doce Mel vs Grapiuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Doce Mel in this Baiano 2 2008 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Doce Mel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Doce Mel
33%
Draws
27%
Grapiuna
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Doce Mel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Doce Mel have won more games recently than Grapiuna.
  • Win probability leans Doce Mel's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Doce Mel Clean Sheet 20%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doce Mel Grapiuna
Matches Played 38 33
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 7
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2008 Baiano 2
Doce Mel vs Grapiuna
1:0
Aug 10, 2008 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Doce Mel
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doce Mel 40 / 100
Grapiuna 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doce Mel Grapiuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Doce Mel scored in 61% of their last 38 games.

Grapiuna let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Doce Mel stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grapiuna
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Doce Mel

(Home)
26 Feb
Alagoinhas
0 : 0
Doce Mel
11 Feb
Doce Mel
0 : 1
Bahia
08 Feb
Itabuna
1 : 1
Doce Mel
04 Feb
Doce Mel
1 : 2
Juazeirense
29 Jan
Barcelona FC
3 : 0
Doce Mel
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Grapiuna

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
14 Jun
Grapiuna
0 : 7
Feira FC
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madre de Deus633010:412
2Juazeirense624011:510
3Camacariense61235:125
4Galicia61149:144
Promotion - Baiano 2 2008 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guanambi AC84408:316
2Serrano84228:614
3Doce Mel83418:413
4Grapiuna82156:87
5Cruzeiro Cruz das Almas81166:154
Promotion - Baiano 2 2008 (Play Offs)