Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Doce Mel vs Serrano

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano 2 2008 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Doce Mel
40%
Draws
29%
Serrano
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Serrano haven't matched Doce Mel's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Serrano have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Doce Mel Clean Sheet 20%
Serrano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doce Mel Serrano
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 10 9
Draws 12 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2010 Baiano 2
Doce Mel vs Serrano
0:1
Apr 17, 2010 Baiano 2
Serrano vs Doce Mel
2:0
Aug 31, 2008 Baiano 2
Doce Mel vs Serrano
0:0
Aug 23, 2008 Baiano 2
Serrano vs Doce Mel
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doce Mel 32 / 100
Serrano 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doce Mel Serrano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Doce Mel scored in 61% of their last 38 games.

Serrano lost 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Doce Mel VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Doce Mel

(Home)
26 Feb
Alagoinhas
0 : 0
Doce Mel
11 Feb
Doce Mel
0 : 1
Bahia
08 Feb
Itabuna
1 : 1
Doce Mel
04 Feb
Doce Mel
1 : 2
Juazeirense
29 Jan
Barcelona FC
3 : 0
Doce Mel
Page 1 of 8

Serrano

(Away)
13 Sept
Central SC
3 : 0
Serrano
06 Sept
Serrano
3 : 1
Treze PB
30 Aug
Estanciano EC
3 : 1
Serrano
16 Aug
Serrano
0 : 1
Goianesia
02 Aug
Goianesia
0 : 0
Serrano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madre de Deus633010:412
2Juazeirense624011:510
3Camacariense61235:125
4Galicia61149:144
Promotion - Baiano 2 2008 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guanambi AC84408:316
2Serrano84228:614
3Doce Mel83418:413
4Grapiuna82156:87
5Cruzeiro Cruz das Almas81166:154
Promotion - Baiano 2 2008 (Play Offs)