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Doce Mel W vs Vitoria W Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Doce Mel W in this Baiano Women 2021 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Doce Mel W
15%
Draws
78%
Vitoria W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Vitoria W have won more games recently than Doce Mel W.
  • Model gives Vitoria W a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Vitoria W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitoria W, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Doce Mel W Clean Sheet 10%
Vitoria W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doce Mel W Vitoria W
Matches Played 37 42
Wins 15 20
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.59 2.93
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.80 2.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2022 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs Doce Mel W
2:1
Oct 2, 2021 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs Doce Mel W
1:1
Sep 26, 2021 Baiano Women
Doce Mel W vs Vitoria W
2:1
Aug 29, 2021 Baiano Women
Doce Mel W vs Vitoria W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doce Mel W 10 / 100
Vitoria W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doce Mel W Vitoria W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Doce Mel W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (37 games).

Vitoria W let in goals in 57% of their last 42 matches.

Recent resilience: Doce Mel W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Doce Mel W VS Vitoria W
0.86 Goals Scored 1.38
2.86 Goals Conceded 2.75
86% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 88%
71% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Doce Mel W

(Home)
08 Aug
Acao W
3 : 2
Doce Mel W
02 Aug
Doce Mel W
0 : 4
Taubate W
25 Jul
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Doce Mel W
31 May
Doce Mel W
0 : 0
3B da Amazonia W
28 May
Cruzeiro W
5 : 0
Doce Mel W
Page 1 of 8

Vitoria W

(Away)
26 Sept
Vitoria W
10 : 0
CFFB W
19 Sept
Vitoria W
13 : 0
Camacariense W
12 Sept
Jequie W
0 : 6
Vitoria W
05 Sept
Vitoria W
3 : 0
Galicia W
22 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 2
Santos W
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Doce Mel W 3
Vitoria W 2
Juventude Conquista W 0
Bahia W 3
Final
Doce Mel W 1
Bahia W 4