Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024

Geita Gold

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dodoma Jiji play Geita Gold in the Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dodoma Jiji averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Geita Gold averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Dodoma Jiji won 1, Geita Gold won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 9, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Dodoma Jiji and 1.19 for Geita Gold. This points to a Dodoma Jiji double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Dodoma Jiji

30%

Draws

31%

Geita Gold

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dodoma Jiji

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Dodoma Jiji picked up more points recently compared to Geita Gold.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 58%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

Dodoma Jiji Clean Sheet 20%

Geita Gold Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 52%

Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dodoma Jiji	Geita Gold
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	8	5
Draws	12	9
Losses	12	16
Goals Scored	0.88	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.28	1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Dodoma Jiji vs Geita Gold

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Oct 21, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara

Geita Gold vs Dodoma Jiji

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Jan 14, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara

Geita Gold vs Dodoma Jiji

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Sep 29, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Dodoma Jiji vs Geita Gold

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Jun 13, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Geita Gold vs Dodoma Jiji

Possession: 54% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dodoma Jiji Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Geita Gold Compare

Top Goalscorer Mashaka V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dodoma Jiji 39 / 100

Geita Gold 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dodoma Jiji Geita Gold

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dodoma Jiji or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dodoma Jiji attacking → ← attacking Geita Gold

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dodoma Jiji scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Geita Gold let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Dodoma Jiji went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Geita Gold lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 24

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	26	2	2	71:14	80
2	Azam	30	21	6	3	63:21	69
3	Simba	30	21	6	3	59:25	69
4	Coastal Union	30	11	10	9	22:19	43
5	Kinondoni MC	30	8	13	9	27:39	37
6	Namungo	30	8	12	10	27:29	36
7	Singida Black Stars	30	9	9	12	29:36	36
8	Mashujaa	30	9	8	13	30:33	35
9	Tanzania Prisons	30	7	13	10	29:35	34
10	Kagera Sugar	30	7	13	10	23:32	34
11	Fountain Gate	30	8	9	13	29:39	33
12	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	9	13	19:32	33
13	JKT Tanzania	30	6	14	10	21:30	32
14	TRA United	30	5	12	13	20:41	27
15	Geita Gold	30	5	10	15	18:38	25
16	Mtibwa Sugar	30	5	6	19	30:54	21