Sport Picks
Dodoma Jiji vs Mbeya City Prediction & H2H Stats
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Jamhuri Stadium, Dodoma 
Match Events
13'
13'
Buha A.
(Penalty)
28'
28'
Kipagwile I.
Assist: Mhilu D.
61'
61'
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mbeya City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dodoma Jiji have won more games recently than Mbeya City.
- 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Dodoma Jiji Clean Sheet 23%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dodoma Jiji | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.44 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji
2:0
Jun 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Dodoma Jiji vs Mbeya City
1:1
Feb 3, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji
1:1
Dec 18, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji
1:2
Aug 17, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Dodoma Jiji vs Mbeya City
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dodoma Jiji Compare
Top Goalscorer Kipagwile I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22
Mbeya City Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dodoma Jiji 37 / 100
Mbeya City 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dodoma Jiji Mbeya City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mbeya City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Dodoma Jiji scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Mbeya City has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Dodoma Jiji stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dodoma Jiji VS Mbeya City
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Dodoma Jiji
(Home) 11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Namungo
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Namungo
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
27 Jun
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 1 Mbeya City
24 Jun
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 0 JKT Tanzania
Page 1 of 3
Mbeya City
(Away) 12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
27 Jun
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 1 Mbeya City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
