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Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Chions Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Pinton F.
66' Event
Diallo C.
71' Event
Parlato M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Dolomiti Bellunesi and Chions finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dolomiti Bellunesi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Dolomiti Bellunesi
35%
Draws
26%
Chions
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dolomiti Bellunesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Dolomiti Bellunesi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Dolomiti Bellunesi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Dolomiti Bellunesi Clean Sheet 16%
Chions Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dolomiti Bellunesi Chions
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.29 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Chions
3:1
Nov 30, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
0:1
Mar 16, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Chions
4:0
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dolomiti Bellunesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Parlato M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Chions Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinton F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dolomiti Bellunesi 30 / 100
Chions 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dolomiti Bellunesi Chions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dolomiti Bellunesi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chions conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Dolomiti Bellunesi's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Dolomiti Bellunesi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dolomiti Bellunesi VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dolomiti Bellunesi

(Home)
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Lumezzane
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
06 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi
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Chions

(Away)
04 May
Chions
2 : 1
Calvi Noale
27 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 2
Chions
17 Apr
Chions
1 : 2
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
3 : 1
Chions
06 Apr
Chions
1 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)