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Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Lumezzane

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Zugni Tauro, Feltre
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kowalski M.
24'
Sammarco P.
36' Event
Ebone T.
Assist: Anatriello G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Dolomiti Bellunesi and Lumezzane finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lumezzane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Dolomiti Bellunesi
35%
Draws
30%
Lumezzane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lumezzane come out ahead of Dolomiti Bellunesi on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Dolomiti Bellunesi taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Lumezzane have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dolomiti Bellunesi Clean Sheet 20%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dolomiti Bellunesi Lumezzane
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Lumezzane
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
3:0
Oct 13, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Lumezzane
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dolomiti Bellunesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kowalski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Lumezzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebone T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anatriello G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dolomiti Bellunesi 42 / 100
Lumezzane 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dolomiti Bellunesi Lumezzane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dolomiti Bellunesi scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Lumezzane conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: Dolomiti Bellunesi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dolomiti Bellunesi VS Lumezzane
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dolomiti Bellunesi

(Home)
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Lumezzane
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
06 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi
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Lumezzane

(Away)
03 Oct
Inter
2 : 0
Lumezzane
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Lumezzane
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
3 Union Brescia 7 4 3 0 12:4 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 7 3 4 0 9:3 13
6 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
7 Treviso 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Alcione Milano 7 2 4 1 10:11 10
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 7 2 4 1 6:5 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Pro Vercelli 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
12 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
13 Lecco 7 2 2 3 4:6 8
14 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
15 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
16 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
17 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
18 Novara 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
19 Giana Erminio 7 0 3 4 6:10 3
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)