Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Zugni Tauro, Feltre
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Valdesi A.
25' Event
Agosti L.
Assist: Saccani M.
28'
Sub
Moretti L. In: Cannavaro A.
Out: Moretti L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Dolomiti Bellunesi and Novara finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Dolomiti Bellunesi
35%
Draws
41%
Novara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Novara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novara come out ahead of Dolomiti Bellunesi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dolomiti Bellunesi a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Dolomiti Bellunesi Clean Sheet 20%
Novara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dolomiti Bellunesi Novara
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dolomiti Bellunesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Agosti L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Novara Compare

Top Goalscorer Lorenzini F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zambataro E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dolomiti Bellunesi 42 / 100
Novara 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dolomiti Bellunesi Novara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dolomiti Bellunesi scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Novara let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Dolomiti Bellunesi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dolomiti Bellunesi VS Novara
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dolomiti Bellunesi

(Home)
04 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Novara
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Lumezzane
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 6

Novara

(Away)
04 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Novara
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2
Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Novara 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
13 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
14 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
15 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
16 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)