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Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Virtus Bolzano

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

Dolomiti Bellunesi play Virtus Bolzano in the Coppa Italia Serie D 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dolomiti Bellunesi averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Virtus Bolzano averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Dolomiti Bellunesi won 2, Virtus Bolzano won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 14, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Dolomiti Bellunesi and 1.38 for Virtus Bolzano. This points to a Dolomiti Bellunesi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Dolomiti Bellunesi
17%
Draws
13%
Virtus Bolzano
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Dolomiti Bellunesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Dolomiti Bellunesi has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Virtus Bolzano.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Dolomiti Bellunesi.
  • Cup tournament structure in Coppa Italia Serie D 2023/2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Dolomiti Bellunesi Clean Sheet 68%
Virtus Bolzano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dolomiti Bellunesi Virtus Bolzano
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Virtus Bolzano vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1:2
Oct 18, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Virtus Bolzano
2:0
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Virtus Bolzano
1:1
Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Virtus Bolzano
1:1
Sep 28, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Virtus Bolzano vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dolomiti Bellunesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Toniolo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nunic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Virtus Bolzano Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dolomiti Bellunesi 77 / 100
Virtus Bolzano 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dolomiti Bellunesi Virtus Bolzano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dolomiti Bellunesi scored in 71% of their last 41 games.

Virtus Bolzano let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dolomiti Bellunesi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Virtus Bolzano lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dolomiti Bellunesi VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi2
Virtus Bolzano0
Luparense FC3
Chions1
Clodiense1
Ravenna0
Campodarsego1
Montecchio Maggiore0
Arconatese1
Alcione Milano0
Castellanzese0
Varesina2
Pro Palazzolo1
Desenzano Calvina0
Real Calepina1
Ponte San Pietro0
Asti Calcio1
PDHA0
Chisola1
Bra2
USD Casatese1
Fanfulla0
Fezzanese0
Vado1
Livorno2
Ghiviborgo1
Poggibonsi2
Aglianese Calcio1
Follonica Gavorrano2
Sangiovannese1
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro2
Pistoiese1
San Donnino0
Corticella3
Forli FC1
Imolese3
Fano2
Sambenedettese1
Notaresco Calcio0
Campobasso1
Grosseto2
Nuova Florida3
Tivoli Calcio1
Ostiamare0
Trastevere Calcio2
Latte Dolce0
Real Monterotondo1
Cynthialbalonga2
Citta di Fasano3
Casarano4
Fidelis Andria2
Bitonto1
San Marzano2
Paganese3
Cavese3
Rotonda0
Angri3
Real Casalnuovo1
Vibonese1
Lamezia Terme2
Akragas2
Canicatti1
Trapani2
Sancataldese1
1/16-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi1
Luparense FC0
Clodiense1
Campodarsego0
Arconatese0
Varesina1
Pro Palazzolo2
Real Calepina1
Asti Calcio1
Bra2
USD Casatese2
Vado1
Livorno3
Poggibonsi0
Follonica Gavorrano3
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro1
Corticella0
Imolese2
Fano0
Campobasso1
Nuova Florida2
Tivoli Calcio1
Trastevere Calcio0
Cynthialbalonga1
Casarano0
Fidelis Andria3
Paganese0
Cavese1
Angri-
Lamezia Terme-
Akragas0
Trapani3
1/8-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi0
Clodiense2
Varesina3
Pro Palazzolo0
Bra0
USD Casatese1
Livorno0
Follonica Gavorrano3
Imolese1
Campobasso0
Nuova Florida2
Cynthialbalonga1
Fidelis Andria3
Cavese1
Angri0
Trapani3
Quarter-finals
Clodiense0
Varesina1
USD Casatese1
Follonica Gavorrano2
Imolese1
Nuova Florida0
Fidelis Andria1
Trapani2
Semi-finals
Varesina3
Follonica Gavorrano4
Imolese1
Trapani3
Final
Follonica Gavorrano1
Trapani2