Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dom Bosco vs Cacerense

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Freitas L.
45'
Anderson
87' Event
Paraiba V.

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2023 game between Dom Bosco and Cacerense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dom Bosco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Dom Bosco
15%
Draws
57%
Cacerense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cacerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cacerense come out ahead of Dom Bosco on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dom Bosco Clean Sheet 20%
Cacerense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dom Bosco Cacerense
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Dom Bosco vs Cacerense
1:2
Feb 15, 2023 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Cacerense
2:1
Apr 24, 2016 Matogrossense
Cacerense vs Dom Bosco
2:0
Mar 27, 2016 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Cacerense
3:1
Feb 27, 2015 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Cacerense
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dom Bosco Compare

Top Goalscorer Paraiba V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cacerense Compare

Top Goalscorer Freitas L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dom Bosco 32 / 100
Cacerense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dom Bosco Cacerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Dom Bosco found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Cacerense let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Dom Bosco stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dom Bosco VS Cacerense
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dom Bosco

(Home)
05 Jul
Dom Bosco
3 : 0
Uirapuru
28 Jun
Acao
1 : 2
Dom Bosco
19 Jun
Dom Bosco
1 : 2
Cacerense
16 Jun
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 1
Dom Bosco
24 Feb
Luverdense
4 : 1
Dom Bosco
Page 1 of 6

Cacerense

(Away)
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
03 Jun
Cacerense
2 : 1
Sinop FC
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 9 9 0 0 26:4 27
2 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 5 3 1 12:8 18
3 Operario VG 9 4 4 1 18:11 16
4 Dom Bosco 9 4 2 3 9:10 14
5 Luverdense 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
6 Academia 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
7 Mixto 9 2 3 4 9:13 9
8 Nova Mutum EC 9 2 3 4 8:9 9
9 Cacerense 9 2 2 5 7:12 8
10 Sport Sinop 9 0 2 7 7:21 2
Promotion - Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)