Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dom Bosco vs Luverdense

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Mateus Oliveira

AI Match Summary

Luverdense in this Matogrossense 2023 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Dom Bosco
30%
Draws
35%
Luverdense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Dom Bosco haven't matched Luverdense's recent run of results.
  • Dom Bosco are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Luverdense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Luverdense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Luverdense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Dom Bosco Clean Sheet 20%
Luverdense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dom Bosco Luverdense
Matches Played 32 43
Wins 8 22
Draws 8 12
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Matogrossense
Luverdense vs Dom Bosco
4:1
Mar 14, 2023 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Luverdense
0:1
Mar 11, 2023 Matogrossense
Luverdense vs Dom Bosco
3:1
Feb 7, 2023 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Luverdense
2:1
Feb 6, 2022 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Luverdense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dom Bosco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Luverdense Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus Oliveira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dom Bosco 42 / 100
Luverdense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dom Bosco Luverdense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dom Bosco found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Luverdense let in goals in 49% of their last 43 matches.

Dom Bosco went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Luverdense
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dom Bosco

(Home)
05 Jul
Dom Bosco
3 : 0
Uirapuru
28 Jun
Acao
1 : 2
Dom Bosco
19 Jun
Dom Bosco
1 : 2
Cacerense
16 Jun
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 1
Dom Bosco
24 Feb
Luverdense
4 : 1
Dom Bosco
Page 1 of 7

Luverdense

(Away)
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0
ABC
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0
Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0
Guapore
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Cuiaba -
TBD -
Dom Bosco 1
Luverdense 4
Uniao Rondonopolis -
TBD -
Operario VG 2
Academia 1
Semi-finals
Cuiaba 5
Luverdense 0
Uniao Rondonopolis 2
Operario VG 1
Final
Cuiaba 3
Uniao Rondonopolis 0