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Dombovari vs Kaposvar

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Mayer M.
(Penalty)
54' Event
Hampuk A.
74' Event
Biro D.

AI Match Summary

Kaposvar in this NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaposvar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Dombovari
15%
Draws
85%
Kaposvar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaposvar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kaposvar lately — more wins on the board than Dombovari.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Kaposvar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Dombovari Clean Sheet 10%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dombovari Kaposvar
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 2 23
Draws 2 4
Losses 27 5
Goals Scored 1.1 2.34
Goals Conceded 3.32 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 3.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Dombovari
6:2
Nov 9, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Dombovari vs Kaposvar
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dombovari Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Kaposvar Compare

Top Goalscorer Hampuk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Biro D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.97
Avg xA / game 1.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dombovari 10 / 100
Kaposvar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dombovari Kaposvar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaposvar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Kaposvar let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Dombovari scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Dombovari VS Kaposvar
0.83 Goals Scored 1.88
4.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dombovari

(Home)
24 May
Kaposvar
6 : 2
Dombovari
17 May
Dombovari
1 : 5
Siofok
10 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Dombovari
03 May
Dombovari
0 : 8
Nagykanizsa FC
26 Apr
Ivancsa
3 : 0
Dombovari
Page 1 of 7

Kaposvar

(Away)
29 Aug
Dunaharaszti MTK
2 : 4
Kaposvar
26 Aug
Kaposvar
3 : 1
Paks II
21 Aug
Kaposvar
1 : 0
PTE-PEAC
12 Aug
Szekszardi
0 : 3
Kaposvar
08 Aug
Kaposvar
7 : 0
Budaorsi SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)