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Dominica vs Saint Martin

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Series SKNFA technical centre, Basseterre
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Jules T.
Penalty Missed
47' Event
Jules T.
79' Event
Bellechasse Y.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Series game between Dominica and Saint Martin finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Martin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Dominica
11%
Draws
80%
Saint Martin
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Saint Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saint Martin come out ahead of Dominica on wins alone.
  • Saint Martin are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Series form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dominica Clean Sheet 11%
Saint Martin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominica Saint Martin
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2025 CONCACAF Series
Dominica vs Saint Martin
1:2
Sep 24, 2006 Caribbean Cup
Saint Martin vs Dominica
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominica Compare

Top Goalscorer Jules T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Saint Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellechasse Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominica 10 / 100
Saint Martin 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominica Saint Martin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominica scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Saint Martin let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dominica remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dominica VS Saint Martin
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dominica

(Home)
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Guyana
2 : 0
Dominica
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Dominica
1 : 2
Saint Martin
10 Jun
Dominican Republic
5 : 0
Dominica
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Saint Martin

(Away)
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
15 Nov
Saint Martin
0 : 1
Belize
12 Nov
Dominica
1 : 2
Saint Martin
09 Nov
Saint Martin
1 : 2
Anguilla
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