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Dominican Republic U17 vs Dominica U17

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U17
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dominican Republic U17 play Dominica U17 in the CONCACAF Championship U17. Dominican Republic U17 are favorites here. Recently, Dominican Republic U17 averaged 2.95 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Dominica U17 averaged 0.38 goals scored and 4.38 conceded. In past meetings, Dominican Republic U17 won 2, Dominica U17 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 30, 2022 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.31 for Dominican Republic U17 and 1.13 for Dominica U17. This points to a Dominican Republic U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Dominican Republic U17
15%
Draws
12%
Dominica U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dominican Republic U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dominican Republic U17 picked up more points recently compared to Dominica U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.31 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Dominican Republic U17 Clean Sheet 21%
Dominica U17 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominican Republic U17 Dominica U17
Matches Played 19 13
Wins 10 0
Draws 1 2
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.95 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.79 4.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 4.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2022 CONCACAF Championship U17
Dominican Republic U17 vs Dominica U17
8:0
Apr 3, 2019 CONCACAF Championship U17
Dominica U17 vs Dominican Republic U17
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominican Republic U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jackson B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Nunez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Dominica U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominican Republic U17 70 / 100
Dominica U17 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominican Republic U17 Dominica U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dominican Republic U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Dominican Republic U17 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.4%
1.54
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dominican Republic U17 attacking → ← attacking Dominica U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominican Republic U17 scored in 84% of their last 19 games.

Dominica U17 let in goals in 100% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Dominican Republic U17 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dominica U17 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 2
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bermuda U17540121:312
2Bonaire U17540111:612
3Guyana U17531113:810
4Bahamas U1752033:126
5British Virgin Islands U1751134:94
6Saint Martin U1750054:180
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Puerto Rico U17431025:010
2Aruba U1743107:110
3Martinique U17420218:36
4Anguilla U1741032:153
5United States Virgin Islands U1740040:330
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dominican Republic U17330019:19
2Saint Kitts and Nevis U1732014:56
3Cayman Islands U1731022:73
4Dominica U1730030:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nicaragua U17330011:09
2Belize U1731113:44
3Antigua and Barbuda U1731112:44
4Turks and Caicos Islands U1730030:80