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Dominican Republic U21 vs Mexico U21

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games Estadio Complejo Deportivo Moca 85, Moca
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Roces J.
43' Event
Vazquez O.
Penalty Missed
77' Event
Perez J.
Assist: Gonzalez R.

AI Match Summary

The Central American & Caribbean Games game between Dominican Republic U21 and Mexico U21 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dominican Republic U21
20%
Draws
57%
Mexico U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mexico U21 come out ahead of Dominican Republic U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mexico U21 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Central American & Caribbean Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Dominican Republic U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominican Republic U21 Mexico U21
Matches Played 5 39
Wins 1 23
Draws 1 4
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games
Dominican Republic U21 vs Mexico U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominican Republic U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Roces J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Mexico U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominican Republic U21 10 / 100
Mexico U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominican Republic U21 Mexico U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dominican Republic U21 scored in 80% of their last 5 outings.

Mexico U21 let in goals in 62% of their last 39 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Dominican Republic U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dominican Republic U21 VS Mexico U21
1.33 Goals Scored 1.25
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dominican Republic U21

(Home)
03 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Guatemala U21
0 : 1
Dominican Republic U21
27 Nov
Dominican Republic U21
0 : 3
El Salvador U21
25 Nov
Nicaragua U21
2 : 1
Dominican Republic U21

Mexico U21

(Away)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
05 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 0
Panama U21
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U21 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Venezuela U21 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Dominican Republic U21 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Guatemala U21 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U21 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Panama U21 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Cuba U21 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Costa Rica U21 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games (Play Offs)