Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dominican Republic vs Barbados

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gale T.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Alba R.
29' Event
Romero D.
Assist: Vasquez R.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 game between Dominican Republic and Barbados finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dominican Republic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dominican Republic
30%
Draws
23%
Barbados
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dominican Republic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dominican Republic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dominican Republic a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dominican Republic here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 68%
Barbados Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominican Republic Barbados
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.3 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominican Republic vs Barbados
5:2
Oct 14, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Barbados vs Dominican Republic
0:5
Jun 4, 2021 World Championship
Dominican Republic vs Barbados
1:1
Mar 29, 2016 Caribbean Cup
Dominican Republic vs Barbados
2:0
Sep 26, 2012 Caribbean Cup
Barbados vs Dominican Republic
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominican Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Alba R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Barbados Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominican Republic 86 / 100
Barbados 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominican Republic Barbados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dominican Republic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Dominican Republic found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Barbados let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Dominican Republic stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dominican Republic VS Barbados
1.5 Goals Scored 1.14
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Dominican Republic

(Home)
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2
Dominican Republic
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
27 Mar
Dominican Republic
2 : 2
El Salvador
18 Nov
Dominican Republic
0 : 0
Martinique
13 Nov
Dominican Republic
2 : 0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
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Barbados

(Away)
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2
Bonaire
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1
Barbados
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guadeloupe 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Saint Lucia 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Sint Maarten 6 2 0 4 6:15 6
4 Saint Kitts and Nevis 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nicaragua 6 5 1 0 17:1 16
2 Dominican Republic 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Montserrat 6 3 0 3 9:14 9
4 Barbados 6 0 0 6 7:26 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 French Guiana 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 6 3 0 3 13:14 9
3 Bermuda 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Belize 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guyana 5 5 0 0 20:5 15
2 Puerto Rico 6 4 0 2 22:10 12
3 Antigua and Barbuda 6 1 1 4 9:22 4
4 Bahamas 5 0 1 4 7:21 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)