Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Olímpico Félix Sánchez

Dominica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dominican Republic play Dominica in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dominican Republic averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Dominica averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Dominican Republic won 5, Dominica won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 10, 2025 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Dominican Republic and 1.19 for Dominica. This points to a Dominican Republic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Dominican Republic

16%

Draws

36%

Dominica

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Dominican Republic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Dominican Republic picked up more points recently compared to Dominica.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 20%

Dominica Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dominican Republic	Dominica
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	9
Draws	6	8
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	2.3	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 World Championship

Dominican Republic vs Dominica

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 0 - 2

5:0

Nov 16, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League

Dominica vs Dominican Republic

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 3 - 0

1:6

Sep 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League

Dominican Republic vs Dominica

Possession: 56% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Mar 24, 2021 World Championship

Dominican Republic vs Dominica

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Sep 27, 2012 Caribbean Cup

Dominican Republic vs Dominica

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominican Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kaparos J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Dominica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominican Republic 47 / 100

Dominica 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dominican Republic Dominica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dominican Republic or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dominican Republic attacking → ← attacking Dominica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominican Republic scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Dominica let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Dominican Republic went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dominica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 35

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Honduras	4	4	0	0	12:2	12
2	Bermuda	4	2	1	1	9:8	7
3	Cuba	4	2	0	2	6:5	6
4	Cayman Islands	4	1	0	3	1:9	3
5	Antigua and Barbuda	4	0	1	3	1:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Costa Rica	4	4	0	0	17:1	12
2	Trinidad & Tobago	4	2	1	1	16:7	7
3	Grenada	4	2	1	1	11:7	7
4	Saint Kitts and Nevis	4	1	0	3	5:13	3
5	Bahamas	4	0	0	4	1:22	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Curacao	4	4	0	0	15:2	12
2	Haiti	4	3	0	1	11:7	9
3	Saint Lucia	4	1	1	2	5:9	4
4	Aruba	4	0	2	2	3:10	2
5	Barbados	4	0	1	3	4:10	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Panama	4	4	0	10:1	12
2	Nicaragua	4	3	1	9:4	9
3	Guyana	4	2	2	6:4	6
4	Montserrat	4	1	3	3:10	3
5	Belize	4	0	4	1:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Jamaica	4	4	0	8:2	12
2	Guatemala	4	3	1	13:5	9
3	Dominican Republic	4	2	2	11:5	6
4	Dominica	4	1	3	5:14	3
5	British Virgin Islands	4	0	4	0:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Suriname	4	3	1	0	10:2	10
2	El Salvador	4	2	2	0	7:2	8
3	Puerto Rico	4	2	1	1	10:2	7
4	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	4	1	0	3	9:9	3
5	Anguilla	4	0	0	4	0:21	0