Sport Picks

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Dominican Republic vs Martinique

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Series Estadio Cibao FC
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dominican Republic play Martinique in the CONCACAF Series. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dominican Republic averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Martinique averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Dominican Republic won 0, Martinique won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 18, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.52 for Dominican Republic and 1.02 for Martinique. This points to a Dominican Republic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dominican Republic
30%
Draws
33%
Martinique
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dominican Republic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dominican Republic picked up more points recently compared to Martinique.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.52 vs 1.02 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 23%
Martinique Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominican Republic Martinique
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.3 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 CONCACAF Series
Dominican Republic vs Martinique
0:0
Oct 8, 2016 Caribbean Cup
Dominican Republic vs Martinique
1:2
Oct 25, 2012 Caribbean Cup
Dominican Republic vs Martinique
1:1
Nov 27, 2002 Gold Cup
Martinique vs Dominican Republic
4:0
May 27, 1991 Caribbean Cup
Martinique vs Dominican Republic
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominican Republic 38 / 100
Martinique 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominican Republic Martinique

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dominican Republic or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dominican Republic attacking → ← attacking Martinique

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominican Republic scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Martinique let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Dominican Republic went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Martinique lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 36
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.29
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.29