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Dominican Republic vs Puerto Rico

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Friendly International 2025 Estadio Cibao FC
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AI Match Summary

Dominican Republic play Puerto Rico in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dominican Republic averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Puerto Rico averaged 2.19 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Dominican Republic won 2, Puerto Rico won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 26, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Dominican Republic and 1.38 for Puerto Rico. This points to a Dominican Republic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Dominican Republic
25%
Draws
37%
Puerto Rico
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Dominican Republic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Dominican Republic picked up more points recently compared to Puerto Rico.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 17%
Puerto Rico Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominican Republic Puerto Rico
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.3 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2025 Friendly International
Dominican Republic vs Puerto Rico
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 Friendly International
Puerto Rico vs Dominican Republic
2:2
Sep 22, 2022 Friendly International
Puerto Rico vs Dominican Republic
0:0
Jan 19, 2021 Friendly International
Dominican Republic vs Puerto Rico
0:1
Aug 31, 2016 Friendly International
Puerto Rico vs Dominican Republic
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominican Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Puerto Rico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominican Republic 38 / 100
Puerto Rico 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominican Republic Puerto Rico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dominican Republic or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dominican Republic attacking → ← attacking Puerto Rico

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominican Republic scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Puerto Rico let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Dominican Republic went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Puerto Rico lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 50
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75