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Domzale vs Celje Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga 2025/2026 Športni park Domžale, Domžale
Sat, May 9, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Domzale host Celje in the Prva liga 2025/2026. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Domzale have averaged 1.08 scored and 1.92 conceded recently, against Celje's 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. Past meetings favor Celje slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.54 vs 1.55, favoring Celje. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Domzale
20%
Draws
40%
Celje
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Celje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Domzale a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Domzale Clean Sheet 15%
Celje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Domzale Celje
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 3 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.08 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.92 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Prva liga
Domzale vs Celje
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs Domzale
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 Prva liga
Domzale vs Celje
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 Prva liga
Celje vs Domzale
4:1
May 25, 2025 Prva liga
Celje vs Domzale
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Domzale 66 / 100
Celje 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Domzale Celje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Domzale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Domzale scored in 83% of their last 12 games.

Celje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Celje has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Celje
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Domzale

(Home)
05 Dec
Koper
2 : 1
Domzale
30 Nov
Domzale
1 : 0
Bravo
22 Nov
Domzale
0 : 2
Celje
08 Nov
Aluminij
3 : 1
Domzale
03 Nov
Domzale
3 : 3
Mura
Page 1 of 3

Celje

(Away)
20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0
Celje
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Celje
12 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1
Celje
06 Sept
Celje
0 : 1
Koper
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2
Celje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celje 34 23 5 6 85:32 74
2 Koper 34 20 7 7 71:43 67
3 Bravo 34 19 5 10 62:51 62
4 O. Ljubljana 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
5 Maribor 34 15 8 11 57:43 53
6 Radomlje 34 13 6 15 50:63 45
7 Aluminij 34 10 6 18 42:61 36
8 Mura 34 8 7 19 35:55 31
9 Primorje 34 6 4 24 31:74 22
10 Domzale 18 3 3 12 17:38 12
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL (Main)