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Don Benito vs Cabeza del Buey

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Lopez A.
17' Event
Gueye M.
84' Event
Gamboa J.

AI Match Summary

Don Benito in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Don Benito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Don Benito
20%
Draws
36%
Cabeza del Buey
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Don Benito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Don Benito have won more games recently than Cabeza del Buey.
  • Win probability leans Don Benito's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 68%
Cabeza del Buey Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Don Benito Cabeza del Buey
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 2.1 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.66 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs Cabeza del Buey
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cabeza del Buey vs Don Benito
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Don Benito Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gueye M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cabeza del Buey Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamboa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Benito 51 / 100
Cabeza del Buey 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Don Benito Cabeza del Buey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Benito scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Don Benito has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Cabeza del Buey let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Don Benito VS Cabeza del Buey
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Don Benito

(Home)
06 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 2
Don Benito
30 Aug
Don Benito
1 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
13 Aug
CD Zafra
1 : 2
Don Benito
08 Aug
Don Benito
2 : 2
CD Extremadura
10 May
Moralo
1 : 1
Don Benito
Page 1 of 6

Cabeza del Buey

(Away)
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
10 May
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
03 May
Jaraiz
2 : 1
Cabeza del Buey
26 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
2 : 1
Montehermoso
19 Apr
Villanovense
3 : 2
Cabeza del Buey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)