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Don Benito vs CD Azuaga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Lopez A.
79'
Braian
90'
Salhi I.

AI Match Summary

Don Benito in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Don Benito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Don Benito
20%
Draws
35%
CD Azuaga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Don Benito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Don Benito lately — more wins on the board than CD Azuaga.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 68%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Don Benito CD Azuaga
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.86 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.66 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs CD Azuaga
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Don Benito
2:1
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Don Benito
2:2
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs CD Azuaga
2:0
Mar 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs CD Azuaga
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Don Benito Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

CD Azuaga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Benito 41 / 100
CD Azuaga 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Don Benito CD Azuaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Benito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Benito scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Don Benito stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: CD Azuaga conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Don Benito VS CD Azuaga
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Don Benito

(Home)
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0
Don Benito
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0
Las Palmas B
06 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 2
Don Benito
30 Aug
Don Benito
1 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
13 Aug
CD Zafra
1 : 2
Don Benito
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CD Azuaga

(Away)
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)