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Don Benito vs Gevora Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Rocha H.
90' Event
Bello E.

AI Match Summary

Don Benito in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Don Benito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Don Benito
20%
Draws
28%
Gevora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Don Benito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Don Benito have won more games recently than Gevora.
  • Win probability leans Don Benito's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 68%
Gevora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Don Benito Gevora
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 1.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs Gevora
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs Don Benito
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Don Benito Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bello E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Gevora Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Benito 95 / 100
Gevora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Don Benito Gevora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Benito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Benito found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Don Benito remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Gevora conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Don Benito VS Gevora
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Don Benito

(Home)
26 Sept
Don Benito
1 : 0
Sanluqueno
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0
Don Benito
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0
Las Palmas B
06 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 2
Don Benito
30 Aug
Don Benito
1 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
Page 1 of 6

Gevora

(Away)
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1
Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Quintana
0 : 0
Gevora
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
05 Sept
Castuera
5 : 0
Gevora
08 Aug
Cacereno
2 : 1
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)