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Don Benito vs Gevora

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Rocha H.
90' Event
Bello E.

AI Match Summary

Don Benito in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Don Benito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Don Benito
6%
Draws
4%
Gevora
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Don Benito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Don Benito have won more games recently than Gevora.
  • Win probability leans Don Benito's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 68%
Gevora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Don Benito Gevora
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs Gevora
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs Don Benito
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Don Benito Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bello E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gevora Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Benito 95 / 100
Gevora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Don Benito Gevora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Benito found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Gevora conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Don Benito remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Don Benito VS Gevora
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Don Benito

(Home)
10 May
Moralo
1 : 1
Don Benito
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1
CD Diocesano
26 Apr
SP Villafranca
1 : 0
Don Benito
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2
Don Benito
12 Apr
Don Benito
1 : 0
Santa Amalia
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Gevora

(Away)
10 May
CD Badajoz
3 : 0
Gevora
03 May
Gevora
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
26 Apr
Montijo
0 : 1
Gevora
19 Apr
Gevora
2 : 1
Moralo
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
Gevora
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)