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Don Benito vs Montijo Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Banao M.
Own Goal
71' Event
Rocha H.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between Don Benito and Montijo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Don Benito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Don Benito
15%
Draws
27%
Montijo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Don Benito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Don Benito come out ahead of Montijo on wins alone.
  • Don Benito are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 68%
Montijo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Don Benito Montijo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs Montijo
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs Don Benito
2:0
Mar 5, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Don Benito vs Montijo
0:0
Oct 16, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Montijo vs Don Benito
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Don Benito vs Montijo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Don Benito Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Montijo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Benito 95 / 100
Montijo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Don Benito Montijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Benito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Benito scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Montijo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Don Benito has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Montijo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Don Benito VS Montijo
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Don Benito

(Home)
26 Sept
Don Benito
1 : 0
Sanluqueno
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0
Don Benito
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0
Las Palmas B
06 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 2
Don Benito
30 Aug
Don Benito
1 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
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Montijo

(Away)
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0
Montijo
20 Sept
Montijo
3 : 1
Guadiana
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)