Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 game between Don Benito and UD Badajoz finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
20%
35%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Don Benito
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and UD Badajoz come out ahead of Don Benito on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 20%
UD Badajoz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Don Benito | UD Badajoz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 21 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.65 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UD Badajoz vs Don Benito
2:0
Dec 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs UD Badajoz
1:1
May 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs UD Badajoz
0:0
Jan 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UD Badajoz vs Don Benito
1:0
Mar 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs UD Badajoz
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Don Benito 36 / 100
UD Badajoz 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Don Benito UD Badajoz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Badajoz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Don Benito scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Don Benito went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
UD Badajoz has conceded goals in 37% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Don Benito VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Don Benito
(Home) 26 Sept
Don Benito
1 : 0 Sanluqueno
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0 Don Benito
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0 Las Palmas B
06 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 2 Don Benito
30 Aug
Don Benito
1 : 0 Puertollano C.F.
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26 Sept
Don Benito
1 : 0 Sanluqueno
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0 Las Palmas B
30 Aug
Don Benito
1 : 0 Puertollano C.F.
08 Aug
Don Benito
2 : 2 CD Extremadura
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1 CD Diocesano
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UD Badajoz
(Away) 25 May
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1 UD Badajoz
18 May
UD Badajoz
1 : 1 Haro Deportivo
11 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 2 UD Badajoz
04 May
UD Badajoz
2 : 0 Don Benito
01 May
UP Plasencia
0 : 2 UD Badajoz
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25 May
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1 UD Badajoz
11 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 2 UD Badajoz
01 May
UP Plasencia
0 : 2 UD Badajoz
20 Apr
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0 UD Badajoz
12 Apr
Castuera
0 : 3 UD Badajoz
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Extremadura UD | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 75:14 | 89 |
| 2 | UD Badajoz | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 55:23 | 79 |
| 4 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 57:23 | 77 |
| 5 | Jerez CF | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 51:37 | 59 |
| 6 | Merida UD | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47:38 | 56 |
| 7 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:38 | 55 |
| 8 | UP Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55:47 | 55 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 52:54 | 53 |
| 10 | CD Coria | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 11 | Atletico San Jose Promesas | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:58 | 48 |
| 12 | Pueblonuevo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:60 | 43 |
| 13 | Miajadas | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 40:56 | 43 |
| 14 | RCP Valverdeno | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40:56 | 42 |
| 15 | Hernan Cortes | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 36:64 | 41 |
| 16 | Cacereno II | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 48:57 | 40 |
| 17 | Fuente de Cantos | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:68 | 39 |
| 18 | Moralo | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 33:52 | 38 |
| 19 | Emerita Augusta | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 44:77 | 31 |
| 20 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 35:65 | 28 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
