Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Don Bosco vs America des Cayes

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Don Bosco play America des Cayes in the Championnat National. It looks like a close match. Recently, Don Bosco averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. America des Cayes averaged 1.21 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Don Bosco won 1, America des Cayes won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 22, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for Don Bosco and 0.81 for America des Cayes. This points to a America des Cayes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Don Bosco
35%
Draws
36%
America des Cayes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: America des Cayes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Don Bosco picked up more points recently compared to America des Cayes.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.76 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Don Bosco Clean Sheet 26%
America des Cayes Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Don Bosco America des Cayes
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 11 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.15 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.08 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2025 Championnat National
Don Bosco vs America des Cayes
1:1
Apr 18, 2021 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Don Bosco
1:1
Sep 12, 2020 Championnat National
Don Bosco vs America des Cayes
0:1
Sep 8, 2019 Championnat National
Don Bosco vs America des Cayes
2:0
Mar 10, 2019 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Don Bosco
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Bosco 31 / 100
America des Cayes 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Don Bosco America des Cayes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: America des Cayes or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +24%
4.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Don Bosco attacking → ← attacking America des Cayes

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Bosco scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

America des Cayes let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Don Bosco went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

America des Cayes lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 44
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1AS Capoise20201:12
2Fica20201:12
3Baltimore00000:00
4Tempete00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Juventus32104:17
2Violette32015:36
3America des Cayes30212:42
4Don Bosco30123:61