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Don Bosco vs Malole - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Don Bosco host Malole in the Ligue 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Don Bosco at 1.21 goals for, 0.94 against; Malole at 1.03 for, 1.2 against. Head-to-head, Don Bosco have won 3 to Malole's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 4:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.44, favoring Don Bosco. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Don Bosco
35%
Draws
45%
Malole
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Malole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Don Bosco have won more games recently than Malole.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Don Bosco Clean Sheet 16%
Malole Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Don Bosco Malole
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.21 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Ligue 1
Don Bosco vs Malole
4:2
Jan 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Malole vs Don Bosco
0:2
Feb 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Malole vs Don Bosco
1:1
Oct 30, 2024 Ligue 1
Malole vs Don Bosco
0:0
Oct 8, 2024 Ligue 1
Don Bosco vs Malole
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Bosco 31 / 100
Malole 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Don Bosco Malole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malole Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Don Bosco found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

Malole's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Don Bosco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Don Bosco VS Malole
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Don Bosco

(Home)
20 Jun
Don Bosco
1 : 2
Aigles du Congo
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
AS Vita Club
1 : 1
Don Bosco
11 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
0 : 0
Don Bosco
07 Jun
Don Bosco
2 : 2
Celeste
Page 1 of 7

Malole

(Away)
22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2
Sanga Balende
15 Apr
Malole
3 : 0
Blessing
02 Apr
Don Bosco
4 : 2
Malole
29 Mar
Malole
3 : 1
Tanganyika
25 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Malole
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 St Eloi Lupopo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Don Bosco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Saint-Luc 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sanga Balende 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Lubumbashi Sport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 New Soger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Simba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Blessing 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Tanganyika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Malole 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Manika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Butras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Vita Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 AS Maniema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dauphins Noirs 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 FC MK Etancheite 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 AC Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Etoile de Kivu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Aigles du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Celeste 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Anges Verts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 New Jack 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Novakin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Etoile du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)