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Doncaster vs Barnsley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster
Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Thomas J.
63'
Sub
Thomas J. In: Ayinde L.
Out: Thomas J.
68'
Sub
Kirk M. In: Town N.
Out: Kirk M.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Doncaster and Barnsley finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Doncaster
15%
Draws
12%
Barnsley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Doncaster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Doncaster come out ahead of Barnsley on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Doncaster's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 16%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doncaster Barnsley
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 League One
Doncaster vs Barnsley
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 League One
Barnsley vs Doncaster
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 League One
Doncaster vs Barnsley
1:2
Oct 29, 2024 EFL Trophy
Barnsley vs Doncaster
1:3
Oct 11, 2022 EFL Trophy
Doncaster vs Barnsley
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doncaster 36 / 100
Barnsley 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doncaster Barnsley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barnsley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Doncaster's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Barnsley's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Doncaster VS Barnsley
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Doncaster

(Home)
03 Nov
Rochdale
1 : 4
Doncaster
31 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
6 : 1
Doncaster
27 Oct
Luton
3 : 1
Doncaster
24 Oct
Doncaster
2 : 0
Sheffield Wed
20 Oct
Doncaster
0 : 2
Stockport County
Page 1 of 6

Barnsley

(Away)
31 Oct
Barnsley
1 : 1
Oxford Utd
24 Oct
Reading
2 : 1
Barnsley
20 Oct
Luton
2 : 1
Barnsley
17 Oct
Barnsley
1 : 2
Cambridge Utd
10 Oct
Stockport County
3 : 1
Barnsley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 14 8 5 1 28:12 29
2 Stockport County 14 8 2 4 26:14 26
3 Oxford Utd 13 7 5 1 22:11 26
4 Luton 14 7 3 4 27:21 24
5 Plymouth 14 7 2 5 21:19 23
6 Reading 14 6 4 4 25:15 22
7 Bradford City 13 6 4 3 10:8 22
8 Cambridge Utd 14 5 6 3 21:21 21
9 Sheffield Wed 13 5 5 3 22:14 20
10 Leicester 13 5 4 4 22:19 19
11 Mansfield 13 5 4 4 20:18 19
12 Milton Keynes Dons 13 4 6 3 22:20 18
13 Wycombe 13 4 6 3 21:23 18
14 Leyton Orient 13 5 2 6 19:14 17
15 Burton 14 4 5 5 18:21 17
16 Stevenage 12 4 4 4 17:13 16
17 Notts County 12 3 5 4 13:14 14
18 AFC Wimbledon 13 3 4 6 9:21 13
19 Blackpool 12 3 3 6 17:21 12
20 Doncaster 13 3 3 7 14:22 12
21 Wigan 14 3 2 9 11:22 11
22 Peterborough 13 2 4 7 11:23 10
23 Barnsley 12 2 3 7 12:22 9
24 Bromley 13 2 3 8 13:33 9
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)