Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Doncaster vs Mansfield

England England

League One 2025/2026 Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Oshilaja A.
44'
Pearson M.
50' Event
Oates R.
Assist: Blake-Tracy F.

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025/2026 game between Doncaster and Mansfield finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mansfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Doncaster
11%
Draws
9%
Mansfield
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Doncaster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Doncaster come out ahead of Mansfield on wins alone.
  • Doncaster are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 14%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doncaster Mansfield
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 12
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 League One
Doncaster vs Mansfield
0:2
Aug 9, 2025 League One
Mansfield vs Doncaster
1:2
Dec 29, 2023 League Two
Mansfield vs Doncaster
1:1
Oct 10, 2023 EFL Trophy
Mansfield vs Doncaster
3:2
Aug 15, 2023 League Two
Doncaster vs Mansfield
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Doncaster Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Mansfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Oates R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Russell J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doncaster 75 / 100
Mansfield 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doncaster Mansfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Doncaster went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Doncaster's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Mansfield's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Doncaster VS Mansfield
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Doncaster

(Home)
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2
Doncaster
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Doncaster
16 Jul
Glenavon
0 : 5
Doncaster
14 Jul
Doncaster
4 : 2
St. Patricks
02 May
Peterborough
1 : 3
Doncaster
Page 1 of 6

Mansfield

(Away)
18 Jul
Barrow
4 : 3
Mansfield
14 Jul
Retford United
1 : 2
Mansfield
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4
Cardiff
28 Apr
Peterborough
0 : 0
Mansfield
25 Apr
Huddersfield
1 : 4
Mansfield
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City463110589:41103
2Cardiff462710990:5091
3Stockport County4622111371:5877
4Bradford City4622111358:5177
5Bolton461918970:5275
6Stevenage4621121349:4675
7Luton4621111468:5674
8Plymouth462271775:6373
9Huddersfield4618131574:6467
10Mansfield4616171362:5065
11Wycombe4617121769:5863
12Reading4616151564:6063
13Blackpool461792054:6560
14Doncaster461792050:6960
15Barnsley4615141768:7359
16Wigan4614141849:5856
17Burton4613151850:6054
18Peterborough461582364:6853
19AFC Wimbledon461582351:7253
20Leyton Orient4614102259:7152
21Exeter4612132152:6149
22Port Vale4610122436:6142
23Rotherham4610112541:7141
24Northampton46982939:7435
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)