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Doncaster vs Notts County - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Hutchinson I.
44'
Senior J.
45'
Lipsiuc D.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Doncaster and Notts County finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Doncaster
15%
Draws
53%
Notts County
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Notts County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Doncaster carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Notts County taking it.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 14%
Notts County Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doncaster Notts County
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 League One
Doncaster vs Notts County
1:1
May 3, 2025 League Two
Notts County vs Doncaster
1:2
Nov 9, 2024 League Two
Doncaster vs Notts County
1:1
Dec 26, 2023 League Two
Notts County vs Doncaster
3:0
Aug 19, 2023 League Two
Doncaster vs Notts County
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Doncaster Compare

Top Goalscorer Hutchinson I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Notts County Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooper O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doncaster 23 / 100
Notts County 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doncaster Notts County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notts County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Doncaster scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Notts County's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Doncaster stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Doncaster VS Notts County
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Doncaster

(Home)
03 Nov
Rochdale
1 : 4
Doncaster
31 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
6 : 1
Doncaster
27 Oct
Luton
3 : 1
Doncaster
24 Oct
Doncaster
2 : 0
Sheffield Wed
20 Oct
Doncaster
0 : 2
Stockport County
Page 1 of 6

Notts County

(Away)
31 Oct
Mansfield
0 : 2
Notts County
24 Oct
Notts County
1 : 1
Stockport County
20 Oct
Notts County
2 : 0
Sheffield Wed
17 Oct
Wycombe
2 : 0
Notts County
13 Oct
Notts County
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 14 8 5 1 28:12 29
2 Stockport County 14 8 2 4 26:14 26
3 Oxford Utd 13 7 5 1 22:11 26
4 Luton 14 7 3 4 27:21 24
5 Plymouth 14 7 2 5 21:19 23
6 Reading 14 6 4 4 25:15 22
7 Bradford City 13 6 4 3 10:8 22
8 Cambridge Utd 14 5 6 3 21:21 21
9 Sheffield Wed 13 5 5 3 22:14 20
10 Leicester 13 5 4 4 22:19 19
11 Mansfield 13 5 4 4 20:18 19
12 Milton Keynes Dons 13 4 6 3 22:20 18
13 Wycombe 13 4 6 3 21:23 18
14 Leyton Orient 13 5 2 6 19:14 17
15 Burton 14 4 5 5 18:21 17
16 Stevenage 12 4 4 4 17:13 16
17 Notts County 12 3 5 4 13:14 14
18 AFC Wimbledon 13 3 4 6 9:21 13
19 Blackpool 12 3 3 6 17:21 12
20 Doncaster 13 3 3 7 14:22 12
21 Wigan 14 3 2 9 11:22 11
22 Peterborough 13 2 4 7 11:23 10
23 Barnsley 12 2 3 7 12:22 9
24 Bromley 13 2 3 8 13:33 9
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)