Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Doncaster vs Notts County

England England

League One Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Hutchinson I.
44'
Senior J.
45'
Lipsiuc D.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Doncaster and Notts County finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Doncaster
35%
Draws
51%
Notts County
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Notts County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Notts County carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Doncaster taking it.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 20%
Notts County Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doncaster Notts County
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 League One
Doncaster vs Notts County
1:1
May 3, 2025 League Two
Notts County vs Doncaster
1:2
Nov 9, 2024 League Two
Doncaster vs Notts County
1:1
Dec 26, 2023 League Two
Notts County vs Doncaster
3:0
Aug 19, 2023 League Two
Doncaster vs Notts County
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Doncaster Compare

Top Goalscorer Hutchinson I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Notts County Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooper O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doncaster 36 / 100
Notts County 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doncaster Notts County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Doncaster scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Notts County's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Doncaster stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Doncaster VS Notts County
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Doncaster

(Home)
08 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 3
Huddersfield
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3
Plymouth
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1
Notts County
29 Aug
Stevenage
2 : 2
Doncaster
25 Aug
Doncaster
1 : 3
Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6

Notts County

(Away)
05 Sept
Huddersfield
1 : 1
Notts County
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1
Notts County
29 Aug
Notts County
2 : 1
Burton
22 Aug
Luton
2 : 2
Notts County
15 Aug
Notts County
1 : 1
Leicester
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 5 4 0 1 13:6 12
2 Huddersfield 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
3 Stockport County 5 3 0 2 13:6 9
4 Bradford City 5 3 0 2 5:4 9
5 Burton 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
6 Cambridge Utd 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
7 Luton 5 2 2 1 11:11 8
8 Reading 4 2 1 1 11:5 7
9 Leyton Orient 5 2 1 2 10:6 7
10 Oxford Utd 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
11 Blackpool 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
12 Notts County 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
13 Plymouth 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
14 Barnsley 5 2 1 2 6:8 7
15 AFC Wimbledon 5 2 1 2 4:7 7
16 Stevenage 5 1 3 1 9:6 6
17 Mansfield 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
18 Leicester 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
19 Milton Keynes Dons 5 0 4 1 7:9 4
20 Peterborough 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
21 Bromley 5 1 1 3 4:15 4
22 Doncaster 5 0 3 2 6:8 3
23 Wycombe 5 0 3 2 7:12 3
24 Wigan 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)