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Stadium Background

Doncaster vs Plymouth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Evans W.
51' Event
May A.
(Penalty)
62'
Sub
O'Reilly T. In: McCann B.
Out: O'Reilly T.

AI Match Summary

Plymouth in this League One matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plymouth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Doncaster
15%
Draws
46%
Plymouth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Plymouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Plymouth have won more games recently than Doncaster.
  • Model gives Doncaster a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Plymouth have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 11%
Plymouth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doncaster Plymouth
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 League One
Doncaster vs Plymouth
2:3
Mar 7, 2026 League One
Plymouth vs Doncaster
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 League One
Doncaster vs Plymouth
1:5
Jan 29, 2022 League One
Doncaster vs Plymouth
1:3
Sep 25, 2021 League One
Plymouth vs Doncaster
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Doncaster Compare

Top Goalscorer Grehan S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Plymouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pepple A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doncaster 40 / 100
Plymouth 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doncaster Plymouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Doncaster's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Plymouth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Doncaster remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Doncaster VS Plymouth
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Doncaster

(Home)
03 Nov
Rochdale
1 : 4
Doncaster
31 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
6 : 1
Doncaster
27 Oct
Luton
3 : 1
Doncaster
24 Oct
Doncaster
2 : 0
Sheffield Wed
20 Oct
Doncaster
0 : 2
Stockport County
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Plymouth

(Away)
31 Oct
Plymouth
0 : 0
Reading
24 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 3
Plymouth
20 Oct
Stevenage
3 : 0
Plymouth
17 Oct
Plymouth
0 : 2
Huddersfield
10 Oct
Plymouth
2 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 14 8 5 1 28:12 29
2 Stockport County 14 8 2 4 26:14 26
3 Oxford Utd 13 7 5 1 22:11 26
4 Luton 14 7 3 4 27:21 24
5 Plymouth 14 7 2 5 21:19 23
6 Reading 14 6 4 4 25:15 22
7 Bradford City 13 6 4 3 10:8 22
8 Cambridge Utd 14 5 6 3 21:21 21
9 Sheffield Wed 13 5 5 3 22:14 20
10 Leicester 13 5 4 4 22:19 19
11 Mansfield 13 5 4 4 20:18 19
12 Milton Keynes Dons 13 4 6 3 22:20 18
13 Wycombe 13 4 6 3 21:23 18
14 Leyton Orient 13 5 2 6 19:14 17
15 Burton 14 4 5 5 18:21 17
16 Stevenage 12 4 4 4 17:13 16
17 Notts County 12 3 5 4 13:14 14
18 AFC Wimbledon 13 3 4 6 9:21 13
19 Blackpool 12 3 3 6 17:21 12
20 Doncaster 13 3 3 7 14:22 12
21 Wigan 14 3 2 9 11:22 11
22 Peterborough 13 2 4 7 11:23 10
23 Barnsley 12 2 3 7 12:22 9
24 Bromley 13 2 3 8 13:33 9
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)