Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Doncaster vs Plymouth

England England

League One Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Evans W.
51' Event
May A.
(Penalty)
62'
Sub
O'Reilly T. In: McCann B.
Out: O'Reilly T.

AI Match Summary

Plymouth in this League One matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plymouth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Doncaster
30%
Draws
54%
Plymouth
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Plymouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Plymouth have won more games recently than Doncaster.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Plymouth have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 16%
Plymouth Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doncaster Plymouth
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 20
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 League One
Doncaster vs Plymouth
2:3
Mar 7, 2026 League One
Plymouth vs Doncaster
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 League One
Doncaster vs Plymouth
1:5
Jan 29, 2022 League One
Doncaster vs Plymouth
1:3
Sep 25, 2021 League One
Plymouth vs Doncaster
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Doncaster Compare

Top Goalscorer Grehan S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Plymouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pepple A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doncaster 31 / 100
Plymouth 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doncaster Plymouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plymouth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Doncaster's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Plymouth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Doncaster remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Doncaster VS Plymouth
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Doncaster

(Home)
08 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 3
Huddersfield
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3
Plymouth
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1
Notts County
29 Aug
Stevenage
2 : 2
Doncaster
25 Aug
Doncaster
1 : 3
Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 7

Plymouth

(Away)
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3
Plymouth
01 Sept
Leicester
2 : 0
Plymouth
29 Aug
Plymouth
2 : 0
Bradford City
25 Aug
Plymouth
2 : 4
Coventry
22 Aug
Wycombe
1 : 1
Plymouth
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
2 Huddersfield 6 3 3 0 10:4 12
3 Bradford City 6 4 0 2 6:4 12
4 Cambridge Utd 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
5 Oxford Utd 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 Plymouth 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
7 AFC Wimbledon 6 3 1 2 5:7 10
8 Stockport County 6 3 0 3 16:10 9
9 Stevenage 6 2 3 1 11:7 9
10 Blackpool 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Burton 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
12 Luton 6 2 2 2 12:13 8
13 Leicester 6 2 2 2 8:10 8
14 Reading 5 2 1 2 12:7 7
15 Leyton Orient 6 2 1 3 12:9 7
16 Notts County 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
17 Mansfield 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
18 Barnsley 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
19 Wycombe 6 1 3 2 10:14 6
20 Milton Keynes Dons 6 0 5 1 8:10 5
21 Peterborough 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
22 Bromley 6 1 2 3 6:17 5
23 Wigan 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
24 Doncaster 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)