Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Phillips M.
45'
45'
McGrath J.
46'
46'
Sub
Grehan S. In: Adelakun H.
Out: Grehan S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Doncaster
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Doncaster have won more games recently than Stevenage.
- Win probability leans Doncaster's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 68%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Doncaster | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 League One
Doncaster vs Stevenage
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 League One
Stevenage vs Doncaster
0:0
Apr 18, 2023 League Two
Stevenage vs Doncaster
1:0
Oct 25, 2022 League Two
Doncaster vs Stevenage
0:1
Jan 2, 2017 League Two
Doncaster vs Stevenage
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Doncaster Compare
Top Goalscorer Sharp B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Stevenage Compare
Top Goalscorer Phillips M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Doncaster 95 / 100
Stevenage 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Doncaster Stevenage
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Doncaster went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Doncaster scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Stevenage lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Stevenage has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Doncaster VS Stevenage
2.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Doncaster
(Home) 25 Jul
Gainsborough
0 : 0 Doncaster
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2 Doncaster
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2 Doncaster
16 Jul
Glenavon
0 : 5 Doncaster
14 Jul
Doncaster
4 : 2 St. Patricks
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Doncaster
4 : 2 St. Patricks
25 Apr
Doncaster
1 : 1 Stevenage
21 Apr
Doncaster
0 : 2 Lincoln City
11 Apr
Doncaster
1 : 0 Reading
03 Apr
Doncaster
0 : 2 Mansfield
Page 1 of 3
Stevenage
(Away) 25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0 Millwall
22 Jul
Stevenage
0 : 5 West Ham
18 Jul
FC Andorra
0 : 0 Stevenage
13 May
Stockport County
2 : 0 Stevenage
09 May
Stevenage
0 : 1 Stockport County
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
FC Andorra
0 : 0 Stevenage
13 May
Stockport County
2 : 0 Stevenage
25 Apr
Doncaster
1 : 1 Stevenage
14 Apr
Bolton
5 : 1 Stevenage
11 Apr
Bradford City
0 : 1 Stevenage
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
