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Donegal vs Knockbreda

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2015/2016
Donegal Logo

Donegal

1 - 2
FT
Knockbreda Logo

Knockbreda

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2015/2016 game between Donegal and Knockbreda finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Knockbreda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Donegal
15%
Draws
85%
Knockbreda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Knockbreda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Knockbreda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2015/2016 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Donegal Clean Sheet 20%
Knockbreda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Donegal Knockbreda
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 25 21
Goals Scored 1.07 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.4 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2016 NIFL Championship
Donegal vs Knockbreda
1:2
Oct 10, 2015 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Donegal
3:3
Feb 28, 2015 NIFL Championship
Donegal vs Knockbreda
2:0
Aug 25, 2014 Irish League Cup
Knockbreda vs Donegal
4:0
Aug 23, 2014 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Donegal
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Donegal 32 / 100
Knockbreda 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Donegal Knockbreda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Knockbreda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Knockbreda conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Donegal scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Knockbreda's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Knockbreda
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Donegal

(Home)
17 Aug
Crewe
:
Donegal
30 Sept
Crumlin United
2 : 0
Donegal
29 Aug
Glenavon
5 : 1
Donegal
30 Aug
Portadown
6 : 1
Donegal
20 Aug
Donegal
1 : 3
Oxford Stars
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Knockbreda

(Away)
27 Jun
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Bangor FC
03 Feb
Loughgall
2 : 0
Knockbreda
22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4
Knockbreda
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0
Knockbreda
19 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Ards
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ards 26 17 3 6 59:35 54
2 Harland & Wolff 26 15 6 5 54:28 51
3 Armagh 26 13 5 8 64:36 44
4 Knockbreda 26 12 7 7 48:32 43
5 Institute 26 12 6 8 40:20 42
6 Larne 26 12 6 8 64:45 42
7 Lurgan Celtic 26 11 6 9 40:40 39
8 Ballyclare 26 9 10 7 44:40 37
9 Loughgall 26 10 6 10 45:54 36
10 Bangor FC 26 10 5 11 44:40 35
11 Dergview 26 9 8 9 41:40 35
12 Annagh 26 7 6 13 37:57 27
13 Donegal 26 2 4 20 34:80 10
14 Lisburn Distillery 26 2 4 20 18:85 10
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2015/2016 (Relegation)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2015/2016 (Relegation)