Sport Picks
Match Events
50'
50'
Saez S.
58'
58'
Waalkens J.
88'
88'
Siemerink R.
AI Match Summary
Dongen in this Derde Divisie 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dongen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
20%
63%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gemert
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
63%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gemert lately — more wins on the board than Dongen.
- Win probability leans Gemert's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Dongen Clean Sheet 10%
Gemert Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dongen | Gemert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 33 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 2.12 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.11 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs Gemert
3:2
Apr 23, 2023 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs Gemert
2:1
Nov 6, 2022 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Dongen
1:0
Jun 2, 2022 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs Gemert
3:3
Aug 29, 2021 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Dongen
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dongen Compare
Top Goalscorer Saez S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Siemerink R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Gemert Compare
Top Goalscorer Waalkens J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dongen 10 / 100
Gemert 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dongen Gemert
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gemert Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Dongen scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Gemert's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.
Dongen has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dongen VS Gemert
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dongen
(Home) 20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1 Dongen
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3 GOES
05 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 2 Dongen
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4 Watergraafsmeer
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2 Gemert
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3 GOES
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4 Watergraafsmeer
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2 Gemert
15 Aug
Dongen
4 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
03 Jun
Dongen
1 : 1 VV Heerjansdam
Page 1 of 3
Gemert
(Away) 23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3 Gemert
20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2 Gemert
06 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1 UNA
02 Sept
FC 's-Gravenzande
0 : 2 Gemert
Page 1 of 7
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3 Gemert
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2 Gemert
02 Sept
FC 's-Gravenzande
0 : 2 Gemert
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2 Gemert
15 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2 Gemert
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 71:33 | 75 |
| 2 | GVVV | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 77:40 | 69 |
| 3 | SteDoCo | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 59:42 | 58 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 64:55 | 56 |
| 5 | Barendrecht | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 71:54 | 55 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 52:50 | 53 |
| 7 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 54:43 | 52 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 50 |
| 9 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 71:72 | 50 |
| 10 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 3 | 16 | 51:56 | 48 |
| 11 | Staphorst | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:41 | 45 |
| 12 | Urk | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 62:76 | 42 |
| 13 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 52:56 | 38 |
| 14 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 52:72 | 36 |
| 15 | VVOG | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 49:71 | 35 |
| 16 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 47:58 | 33 |
| 17 | Ter Leede | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 50:65 | 33 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 25:61 | 27 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 85:37 | 84 |
| 2 | VVSB | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 87:52 | 71 |
| 3 | USV Hercules | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 64:33 | 63 |
| 4 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 53:45 | 55 |
| 5 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 58:56 | 54 |
| 6 | HSC '21 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 64:42 | 51 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 55:41 | 49 |
| 8 | TOGB | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 68:56 | 49 |
| 9 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 59:47 | 49 |
| 10 | DEM | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 58:53 | 48 |
| 11 | Gemert | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 52:59 | 47 |
| 12 | GVV Unitas | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | 45 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 42:44 | 43 |
| 14 | FC OSS '20 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:59 | 36 |
| 15 | Watergraafsmeer | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:80 | 32 |
| 16 | Baronie | 34 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 44:70 | 28 |
| 17 | Dongen | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:77 | 25 |
| 18 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 26:67 | 17 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
