Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dongen vs GOES

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GOES in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored GOES.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Dongen
15%
Draws
59%
GOES
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GOES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • GOES haven't matched Dongen's recent run of results.
  • Dongen are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors GOES here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Dongen Clean Sheet 13%
GOES Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dongen GOES
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.6 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs GOES
2:3
Feb 3, 2019 Derde Divisie
GOES vs Dongen
3:1
Sep 2, 2018 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs GOES
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dongen 35 / 100
GOES 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dongen GOES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dongen scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: GOES conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dongen remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dongen VS GOES
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Dongen

(Home)
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1
Dongen
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3
GOES
05 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 2
Dongen
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4
Watergraafsmeer
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2
Gemert
Page 1 of 6

GOES

(Away)
20 Sept
GOES
2 : 1
UNA
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3
GOES
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2
GOES
02 Sept
GOES
0 : 1
VV Noordwijk
30 Aug
GOES
1 : 4
Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 6 5 1 0 15:4 16
2 Harkemase Boys 6 5 1 0 13:7 16
3 Genemuiden 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
4 VV Scherpenzeel 6 5 0 1 11:7 15
5 Excelsior 31 6 4 1 1 16:6 13
6 Sportlust 6 3 3 0 14:9 12
7 Purmersteijn 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
8 TEC 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
9 Sparta Nijkerk 6 2 2 2 17:14 8
10 VV Hoogeveen 6 2 1 3 12:13 7
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
12 DVS '33 Ermelo 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
13 VV DOVO 6 1 2 3 8:13 5
14 Staphorst 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
15 USV Hercules 6 1 0 5 8:20 3
16 Eemdijk 6 1 0 5 7:19 3
17 HVV Hollandia 6 0 1 5 13:20 1
18 SVZW Wierden 6 0 1 5 9:20 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 6 5 1 0 12:0 16
2 Lisse 6 5 0 1 11:5 15
3 Rijnvogels 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
4 Excelsior Maassluis 6 3 2 1 12:5 11
5 RKSV UDI 19 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
6 GOES 6 3 2 1 13:13 11
7 SV Poortugaal 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
8 Dongen 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
9 Blauw Geel 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
10 Gemert 6 1 4 1 10:10 7
11 VVSB 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
12 VV Zwaluwen 6 2 1 3 4:9 7
13 UNA 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
14 Groene Ster 6 1 3 2 10:13 6
15 Roosendaal 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
16 Achilles Veen 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
17 TOGB 6 0 2 4 8:15 2
18 EVV 6 0 1 5 7:16 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)