Sport Picks
Dongen vs Groene Ster - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
Dongen host Groene Ster in the Derde Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Dongen at 1.72 goals for, 2 against; Groene Ster at 1.31 for, 2.31 against. Past meetings favor Dongen slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 21, 2023, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.38 - 2.13) back Dongen to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Dongen have won more games recently than Groene Ster.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Dongen taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dongen | Groene Ster |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dongen found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Groene Ster's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Difficult form: Groene Ster registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Dongen
(Home)Groene Ster
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Scherpenzeel | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Genemuiden | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 21 |
| 3 | ACV Assen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 19 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:13 | 16 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:18 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:19 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | 10 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 6 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | 6 |
| 15 | VV DOVO | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:28 | 4 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15:27 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9:27 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:2 | 22 |
| 2 | Lisse | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 20 |
| 5 | VV Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 6 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 8 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 10 | SV Poortugaal | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15:21 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:20 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | 2 |
