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Dongen vs Hoogland Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Bastmeijer S.
45' Event
van Bree M.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2021/2022 game between Dongen and Hoogland finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dongen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Dongen
20%
Draws
73%
Hoogland
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hoogland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hoogland come out ahead of Dongen on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hoogland a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Dongen Clean Sheet 17%
Hoogland Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dongen Hoogland
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.53 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2022 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs Hoogland
2:0
Oct 17, 2021 Derde Divisie
Hoogland vs Dongen
0:1
Feb 21, 2021 Derde Divisie
Hoogland vs Dongen
0:0
Nov 15, 2020 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs Hoogland
0:0
Mar 1, 2020 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs Hoogland
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dongen Compare

Top Goalscorer Bastmeijer S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Bree M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Hoogland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dongen 10 / 100
Hoogland 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dongen Hoogland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoogland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dongen found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Hoogland conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Solid form: Dongen remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dongen VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dongen

(Home)
27 Sept
UNA
2 : 2
Dongen
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1
Dongen
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3
GOES
05 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 2
Dongen
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4
Watergraafsmeer
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Hoogland

(Away)
19 Jun
OJC Rosmalen
4 : 2
Hoogland
16 Jun
Hoogland
2 : 1
OJC Rosmalen
12 Jun
Hoogland
5 : 2
VV Hoogeveen
09 Jun
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 0
Hoogland
06 Jun
Hoogland
2 : 1
GVV Unitas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lisse 34 21 7 6 70:38 70
2 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 7 8 65:38 64
3 Sportlust 34 17 7 10 63:40 58
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 18 4 12 61:41 58
5 HSV Hoek 34 16 7 11 53:49 55
6 ACV Assen 34 14 9 11 50:42 51
7 Excelsior 31 34 14 9 11 53:47 51
8 Barendrecht 34 13 11 10 72:57 50
9 SteDoCo 34 12 9 13 49:48 45
10 Staphorst 34 13 6 15 54:56 45
11 Ter Leede 34 13 5 16 49:67 44
12 Harkemase Boys 34 10 12 12 63:62 42
13 VV DOVO 34 10 8 16 43:57 38
14 VVSB 34 10 8 16 50:66 38
15 ODIN '59 34 9 10 15 52:68 37
16 VVOG 34 10 7 17 61:82 37
17 Ajax (Am) 34 10 6 18 38:54 36
18 GOES 34 6 10 18 44:78 28
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OFC Oostzaan 34 18 7 9 66:47 61
2 USV Hercules 34 18 5 11 74:46 59
3 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 7 10 64:46 58
4 Gemert 34 15 12 7 75:57 57
5 FC OSS '20 34 16 8 10 62:46 56
6 Groene Ster 34 14 9 11 48:50 51
7 Dongen 34 13 11 10 56:47 50
8 UNA 34 15 5 14 60:58 50
9 HSC '21 34 15 4 15 63:52 49
10 HV & CV Quick 34 14 5 15 47:44 47
11 Blauw Geel 34 13 6 15 55:56 45
12 DEM 34 13 6 15 37:50 45
13 GVV Unitas 34 12 6 16 41:59 42
14 Watergraafsmeer 34 12 6 16 59:69 40
15 Hoogland 34 11 6 17 42:64 39
16 EVV 34 9 10 15 36:59 37
17 HVV Hollandia 34 10 5 19 38:55 35
18 Westlandia 34 8 8 18 43:61 32
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)