Sport Picks
Dongen vs SV Poortugaal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between Dongen and SV Poortugaal finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dongen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dongen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dongen carry the better recent record into this one.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Dongen taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Dongen Clean Sheet 10%
SV Poortugaal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dongen | SV Poortugaal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 16 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs SV Poortugaal
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dongen 74 / 100
SV Poortugaal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dongen SV Poortugaal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dongen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dongen scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: SV Poortugaal conceded in 94% of 16 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
SV Poortugaal's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Dongen VS SV Poortugaal
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dongen
(Home) 03 Oct
Dongen
4 : 0 SV Poortugaal
27 Sept
UNA
2 : 2 Dongen
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1 Dongen
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3 GOES
05 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 2 Dongen
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Dongen
4 : 0 SV Poortugaal
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3 GOES
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4 Watergraafsmeer
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2 Gemert
15 Aug
Dongen
4 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 4
SV Poortugaal
(Away) 03 Oct
Dongen
4 : 0 SV Poortugaal
26 Sept
SV Poortugaal
0 : 3 GOES
19 Sept
Rijnvogels
1 : 0 SV Poortugaal
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2 Gemert
05 Sept
EVV
0 : 1 SV Poortugaal
Page 1 of 4
03 Oct
Dongen
4 : 0 SV Poortugaal
19 Sept
Rijnvogels
1 : 0 SV Poortugaal
05 Sept
EVV
0 : 1 SV Poortugaal
01 Sept
Achilles Veen
4 : 2 SV Poortugaal
22 Aug
TOGB
1 : 3 SV Poortugaal
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Scherpenzeel | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Genemuiden | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 21 |
| 3 | ACV Assen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 19 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:13 | 16 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:18 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:19 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | 10 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 6 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | 6 |
| 15 | VV DOVO | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:28 | 4 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15:27 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9:27 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:2 | 22 |
| 2 | Lisse | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 20 |
| 5 | VV Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 6 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 8 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 10 | SV Poortugaal | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15:21 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:20 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
