Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Dongen in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dongen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Zwaluwen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- VV Zwaluwen have won more games recently than Dongen.
- VV Zwaluwen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Dongen Clean Sheet 17%
VV Zwaluwen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dongen | VV Zwaluwen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 2.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs VV Zwaluwen
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dongen 10 / 100
VV Zwaluwen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dongen VV Zwaluwen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VV Zwaluwen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dongen scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Defensive concern: VV Zwaluwen conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Dongen has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dongen VS VV Zwaluwen
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dongen
(Home) 20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1 Dongen
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3 GOES
05 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 2 Dongen
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4 Watergraafsmeer
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2 Gemert
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3 GOES
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4 Watergraafsmeer
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2 Gemert
15 Aug
Dongen
4 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
03 Jun
Dongen
1 : 1 VV Heerjansdam
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VV Zwaluwen
(Away) 19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Lisse
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
05 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 RKSV UDI 19
02 Sept
Lierop
0 : 7 VV Zwaluwen
29 Aug
SV Poortugaal
3 : 1 VV Zwaluwen
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12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
02 Sept
Lierop
0 : 7 VV Zwaluwen
29 Aug
SV Poortugaal
3 : 1 VV Zwaluwen
15 Aug
Dongen
4 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
16 May
ASWH
1 : 6 VV Zwaluwen
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Genemuiden | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 15 |
| 4 | VV Scherpenzeel | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 13 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14:9 | 12 |
| 7 | Purmersteijn | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 8 | TEC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17:14 | 8 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | 7 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 12 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 5 |
| 13 | VV DOVO | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:13 | 5 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | 3 |
| 15 | USV Hercules | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:20 | 3 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:19 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13:20 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:0 | 16 |
| 2 | Lisse | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 6 | GOES | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 7 | SV Poortugaal | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 8 | Dongen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:15 | 9 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Gemert | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 11 | VVSB | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 12 | VV Zwaluwen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 7 |
| 13 | UNA | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | 6 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 15 | Roosendaal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 16 | Achilles Veen | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | 3 |
| 17 | TOGB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 2 |
| 18 | EVV | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
