Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dorchester vs Evesham

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Parker J.

AI Match Summary

Dorchester in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dorchester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Dorchester
30%
Draws
54%
Evesham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Evesham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Evesham lately — more wins on the board than Dorchester.
  • Win probability leans Evesham's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dorchester here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dorchester Clean Sheet 17%
Evesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorchester Evesham
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.22 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Dorchester vs Evesham
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Dorchester
4:1
Sep 8, 2019 FA Cup
Evesham vs Dorchester
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dorchester Compare

Top Goalscorer Parker J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Evesham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorchester 15 / 100
Evesham 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorchester Evesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Evesham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Evesham conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Dorchester scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Dorchester remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dorchester VS Evesham
0 Goals Scored 1
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.5
40% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorchester

(Home)
25 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 4
Sholing
18 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 0
Dorchester
11 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 5
Gloucester City
06 Apr
Weymouth
0 : 0
Dorchester
03 Apr
Dorchester
2 : 3
Berkhamsted Town
Page 1 of 7

Evesham

(Away)
22 Aug
Hanworth Villa
4 : 1
Evesham
15 Aug
Evesham
3 : 0
Chichester City
11 Aug
Evesham
0 : 4
Frome Town
08 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 4
Evesham
31 Jul
Evesham
1 : 1
Bishops Cleeve
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)