Sport Picks
Dorchester vs Gloucester City Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 
Match Events
2'
2'
Cross L.
14'
14'
Spence S.
18'
18'
Thomas K.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Dorchester and Gloucester City finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gloucester City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gloucester City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gloucester City come out ahead of Dorchester on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Gloucester City's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dorchester Clean Sheet 14%
Gloucester City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dorchester | Gloucester City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.85 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Dorchester vs Gloucester City
0:5
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Dorchester
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Dorchester
3:3
Aug 24, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Dorchester vs Gloucester City
1:0
Oct 10, 2009 FA Cup
Dorchester vs Gloucester City
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dorchester Compare
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Gloucester City Compare
Top Goalscorer Simpson K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cross L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dorchester 10 / 100
Gloucester City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dorchester Gloucester City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gloucester City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dorchester's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Gloucester City conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.
Recent resilience: Dorchester stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dorchester VS Gloucester City
1.33 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Dorchester
(Home) 19 Sept
Dorchester
0 : 2 Oxford City
05 Sept
Brixham
2 : 3 Dorchester
29 Aug
Larkhall
2 : 1 Dorchester
25 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 4 Sholing
18 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 0 Dorchester
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Dorchester
0 : 2 Oxford City
25 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 4 Sholing
11 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 5 Gloucester City
03 Apr
Dorchester
2 : 3 Berkhamsted Town
21 Mar
Dorchester
2 : 4 Bracknell Town
Page 1 of 4
Gloucester City
(Away) 29 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1 Plymouth Parkway
26 Sept
Gloucester City
4 : 0 Stafford
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2 Gloucester City
19 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 2 Gloucester City
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 7
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2 Gloucester City
19 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 2 Gloucester City
08 Sept
Mangotsfield
0 : 4 Gloucester City
29 Aug
Havant & Waterlooville
3 : 3 Gloucester City
15 Aug
Wimborne
1 : 1 Gloucester City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
