Sport Picks
Dorchester vs Havant & Waterlooville
England
Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 
Match Events
3'
3'
Thorpe H.
22'
22'
Crosbie J.
44'
44'
Seager R.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Dorchester and Havant & Waterlooville finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dorchester.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Havant & Waterlooville
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Dorchester haven't matched Havant & Waterlooville's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Havant & Waterlooville's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dorchester Clean Sheet 10%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dorchester | Havant & Waterlooville |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 24, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Dorchester vs Havant & Waterlooville
4:3
Jan 14, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Dorchester
3:1
Jan 4, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Dorchester
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Dorchester vs Havant & Waterlooville
1:1
Feb 11, 2014 National League South
Dorchester vs Havant & Waterlooville
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dorchester Compare
Top Goalscorer Crosbie J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Robinson W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Havant & Waterlooville Compare
Top Goalscorer Thorpe H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Seager R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dorchester 10 / 100
Havant & Waterlooville 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dorchester Havant & Waterlooville
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Dorchester found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Havant & Waterlooville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Dorchester remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Dorchester VS Havant & Waterlooville
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Dorchester
(Home) 25 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 4 Sholing
18 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 0 Dorchester
11 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 5 Gloucester City
06 Apr
Weymouth
0 : 0 Dorchester
03 Apr
Dorchester
2 : 3 Berkhamsted Town
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 4 Sholing
11 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 5 Gloucester City
03 Apr
Dorchester
2 : 3 Berkhamsted Town
21 Mar
Dorchester
2 : 4 Bracknell Town
07 Mar
Dorchester
1 : 1 Poole Town
Page 1 of 3
Havant & Waterlooville
(Away) 25 Apr
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 3 Yate
18 Apr
Poole Town
2 : 0 Havant & Waterlooville
11 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
3 : 3 Havant & Waterlooville
06 Apr
Havant & Waterlooville
4 : 0 Gosport Borough
03 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 2 Havant & Waterlooville
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Poole Town
2 : 0 Havant & Waterlooville
11 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
3 : 3 Havant & Waterlooville
03 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 2 Havant & Waterlooville
14 Mar
Hanwell Town
1 : 1 Havant & Waterlooville
10 Mar
Farnham
2 : 1 Havant & Waterlooville
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)