Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Magri S.
24'
24'
Higgs T.
45'
45'
Magri S.
AI Match Summary
Sholing in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sholing.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sholing
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sholing lately — more wins on the board than Dorchester.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Sholing taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Dorchester Clean Sheet 11%
Sholing Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dorchester | Sholing |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.90 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Dorchester vs Sholing
0:4
Dec 13, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Sholing vs Dorchester
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Dorchester vs Sholing
1:1
Oct 15, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Sholing vs Dorchester
1:5
Apr 9, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Sholing vs Dorchester
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dorchester Compare
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45
Sholing Compare
Top Goalscorer Magri S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Higgs T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dorchester 10 / 100
Sholing 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dorchester Sholing
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sholing Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dorchester found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Sholing conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Dorchester has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dorchester VS Sholing
0.8 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1
80% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dorchester
(Home) 19 Sept
Dorchester
0 : 2 Oxford City
05 Sept
Brixham
2 : 3 Dorchester
29 Aug
Larkhall
2 : 1 Dorchester
25 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 4 Sholing
18 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 0 Dorchester
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Dorchester
0 : 2 Oxford City
25 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 4 Sholing
11 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 5 Gloucester City
03 Apr
Dorchester
2 : 3 Berkhamsted Town
21 Mar
Dorchester
2 : 4 Bracknell Town
Page 1 of 3
Sholing
(Away) 19 Sept
Tiverton
0 : 1 Sholing
12 Sept
Sholing
1 : 3 Plymouth Parkway
05 Sept
Sholing
2 : 0 Andover New Street
31 Aug
Sholing
1 : 0 Gosport Borough
29 Aug
Bracknell Town
3 : 1 Sholing
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Tiverton
0 : 1 Sholing
29 Aug
Bracknell Town
3 : 1 Sholing
15 Aug
Hanwell Town
0 : 0 Sholing
11 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 1 Sholing
25 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 4 Sholing
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
