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Dordoi Bishkek vs Alga Bishkek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Bessmertnyi D.
52' Event
Karvatskyi A.
85' Event
Abdeselam M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Liga game between Dordoi Bishkek and Alga Bishkek finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alga Bishkek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dordoi Bishkek
20%
Draws
57%
Alga Bishkek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alga Bishkek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Alga Bishkek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alga Bishkek's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Premier Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Dordoi Bishkek Clean Sheet 18%
Alga Bishkek Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dordoi Bishkek Alga Bishkek
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.55 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Premier Liga
Dordoi Bishkek vs Alga Bishkek
1:2
Jul 8, 2026 Premier Liga
Alga Bishkek vs Dordoi Bishkek
1:1
Oct 13, 2025 Premier Liga
Alga Bishkek vs Dordoi Bishkek
1:3
Mar 11, 2025 Premier Liga
Dordoi Bishkek vs Alga Bishkek
3:1
Oct 30, 2024 Premier Liga
Alga Bishkek vs Dordoi Bishkek
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dordoi Bishkek Compare

Top Goalscorer Karvatskyi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Alga Bishkek Compare

Top Goalscorer Bessmertnyi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdeselam M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dordoi Bishkek 28 / 100
Alga Bishkek 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dordoi Bishkek Alga Bishkek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alga Bishkek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dordoi Bishkek's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Alga Bishkek has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dordoi Bishkek remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dordoi Bishkek VS Alga Bishkek
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dordoi Bishkek

(Home)
08 Oct
Ozgon
3 : 2
Dordoi Bishkek
07 Sept
Dordoi Bishkek
2 : 2
Aldier
30 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
4 : 0
Abdysh-Ata Kant
23 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
0 : 2
Alay Osh
15 Aug
Ilbirs
3 : 0
Dordoi Bishkek
Page 1 of 7

Alga Bishkek

(Away)
08 Oct
Alga Bishkek
3 : 2
Asiagoal Bishkek
17 Sept
Alga Bishkek
0 : 0
Kyrgyzaltyn
07 Sept
Asia Talas
1 : 2
Alga Bishkek
01 Sept
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
3 : 1
Alga Bishkek
24 Aug
Bishkek City
1 : 3
Alga Bishkek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bars 24 16 4 4 68:32 52
2 Asia Talas 25 14 7 4 57:38 49
3 Alga Bishkek 24 14 7 3 44:25 49
4 Muras United 23 13 8 2 47:20 47
5 Ozgon 23 15 2 6 51:29 47
6 Alay Osh 25 12 6 7 33:31 42
7 Talant 25 8 9 8 33:25 33
8 Bishkek City 25 7 9 9 30:33 30
9 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 25 9 3 13 33:42 30
10 Dordoi Bishkek 24 8 5 11 38:35 29
11 Ilbirs 24 6 10 8 29:37 28
12 Toktogul 24 8 4 12 26:37 28
13 Aldier 25 7 7 11 35:47 28
14 Asiagoal Bishkek 25 4 9 12 29:43 21
15 Abdysh-Ata Kant 24 2 6 16 18:49 12
16 Kyrgyzaltyn 25 1 6 18 19:67 9
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)