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Dordoi Bishkek vs Ilbirs

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dordoi Bishkek play Ilbirs in the Premier Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dordoi Bishkek averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Ilbirs averaged 1 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Dordoi Bishkek won 3, Ilbirs won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 13, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Dordoi Bishkek and 0.94 for Ilbirs. This points to a Dordoi Bishkek double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dordoi Bishkek
24%
Draws
25%
Ilbirs
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Dordoi Bishkek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Dordoi Bishkek picked up more points recently compared to Ilbirs.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Dordoi Bishkek Clean Sheet 24%
Ilbirs Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dordoi Bishkek Ilbirs
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 4 11
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Premier Liga
Dordoi Bishkek vs Ilbirs
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Dordoi Bishkek
2:0
May 17, 2025 Premier Liga
Dordoi Bishkek vs Ilbirs
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 Premier Liga
Dordoi Bishkek vs Ilbirs
4:2
May 24, 2024 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Dordoi Bishkek
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dordoi Bishkek Compare

Top Goalscorer Batyrkanov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ilbirs Compare

Top Goalscorer Karpuk I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dordoi Bishkek 51 / 100
Ilbirs 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dordoi Bishkek Ilbirs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dordoi Bishkek or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dordoi Bishkek attacking → ← attacking Ilbirs

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dordoi Bishkek scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Ilbirs let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Dordoi Bishkek went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ilbirs lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 26
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Alga Bishkek14104030:1234
2Asia Talas15102337:2632
3Muras United1393127:1130
4Bars1392234:1629
5Ozgon1492326:1429
6Aldier1565423:2123
7Alay Osh1464416:1522
8Dordoi Bishkek1452718:2017
9Talant1537515:1616
10Bishkek City1444614:1716
11Asiagoal Bishkek1435614:1914
12Neftchi Kochkor-Ata1542915:2514
13Ilbirs1427515:2513
14Toktogul1441913:2313
15Abdysh-Ata Kant15221112:278
16Kyrgyzaltyn15041112:344