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Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dordrecht host Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Jong Ajax have shipped 2.71 goals a game lately, while Dordrecht have conceded 2.38 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Dordrecht have won 2 to Jong Ajax's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.85 vs 1.54, favoring Dordrecht. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dordrecht
6%
Draws
4%
Jong Ajax
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dordrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dordrecht come out ahead of Jong Ajax on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dordrecht's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 15%
Jong Ajax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dordrecht Jong Ajax
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1 0.71
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax
0:1
Nov 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Dordrecht
0:0
Apr 4, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax
3:0
Sep 30, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Dordrecht
0:1
Jan 29, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Dordrecht
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dordrecht 84 / 100
Jong Ajax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dordrecht Jong Ajax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dordrecht scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Jong Ajax let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Dordrecht went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dordrecht VS Jong Ajax
1 Goals Scored 0.71
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.71
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Dordrecht

(Home)
25 Jul
Dordrecht
2 : 2
Al Khaleej
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
14 Jul
Dordrecht
4 : 1
Dortmund II
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2
Excelsior
04 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 6
Feyenoord
Page 1 of 6

Jong Ajax

(Away)
17 Jul
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3 : 0
Jong Ajax
24 Apr
Jong Ajax
0 : 2
Jong Utrecht
17 Apr
Jong PSV
0 : 1
Jong Ajax
13 Apr
Jong Ajax
1 : 2
TOP Oss
06 Apr
Vitesse
6 : 1
Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1De Graafschap00000:00
2Venlo00000:00
3Den Bosch00000:00
4Dordrecht00000:00
5Eindhoven FC00000:00
6FC Emmen00000:00
7Helmond Sport00000:00
8Maastricht00000:00
9Almere City00000:00
10TOP Oss00000:00
11FC Volendam00000:00
12Waalwijk00000:00
13NAC Breda00000:00
14Roda00000:00
15Vitesse00000:00
16Heracles00000:00
17Jong PSV00000:00
18Jong Ajax00000:00
19Jong AZ Alkmaar00000:00
20Jong Utrecht00000:00
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)