Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dordrecht vs Excelsior

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
El Hamdaoui N.
90' Event
El Hamdaoui N.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Dordrecht and Excelsior finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dordrecht
15%
Draws
58%
Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Excelsior come out ahead of Dordrecht on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dordrecht Excelsior
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 2 3.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Dordrecht vs Excelsior
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Dordrecht vs Excelsior
2:2
Jan 10, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Excelsior vs Dordrecht
1:0
Sep 20, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Excelsior
2:2
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Excelsior vs Dordrecht
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dordrecht Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Excelsior Compare

Top Goalscorer El Hamdaoui N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dordrecht 26 / 100
Excelsior 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dordrecht Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Dordrecht scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Dordrecht has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dordrecht VS Excelsior
2 Goals Scored 3.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Dordrecht

(Home)
01 Aug
Dordrecht
0 : 2
Anderlecht U23
25 Jul
Dordrecht
2 : 2
Al Khaleej
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
14 Jul
Dordrecht
4 : 1
Dortmund II
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2
Excelsior
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Excelsior

(Away)
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5
Excelsior
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5
Excelsior
18 Jul
NAC Breda
1 : 3
Excelsior
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2
Excelsior
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2
Cambuur
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