Sport Picks

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Dordrecht vs Excelsior

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
El Hamdaoui N.
90' Event
El Hamdaoui N.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Dordrecht and Excelsior finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Dordrecht
20%
Draws
80%
Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Excelsior come out ahead of Dordrecht on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dordrecht Excelsior
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.41 2
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Dordrecht vs Excelsior
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Dordrecht vs Excelsior
2:2
Jan 10, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Excelsior vs Dordrecht
1:0
Sep 20, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Excelsior
2:2
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Excelsior vs Dordrecht
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dordrecht Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Excelsior Compare

Top Goalscorer El Hamdaoui N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dordrecht 10 / 100
Excelsior 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dordrecht Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Dordrecht scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Excelsior registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dordrecht VS Excelsior
1.38 Goals Scored 3.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dordrecht

(Home)
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0
Dordrecht
11 Sept
Eindhoven FC
2 : 1
Dordrecht
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6
Jong AZ Alkmaar
28 Aug
FC Volendam
6 : 1
Dordrecht
21 Aug
Dordrecht
0 : 1
Roda
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Excelsior

(Away)
19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2
Excelsior
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2
Utrecht
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3
Excelsior
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
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