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Dordrecht vs Heracles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dordrecht host Heracles in the Eerste Divisie. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Heracles have shipped 1.71 goals a game lately, while Dordrecht have conceded 2.31 and scored 1.45. Past meetings favor Heracles slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 5, 2023, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.13 - 2.13) back Heracles to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Dordrecht
15%
Draws
65%
Heracles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Heracles have won more games recently than Dordrecht.
  • Heracles are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Heracles here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Heracles Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dordrecht Heracles
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Heracles
1:3
Dec 16, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs Dordrecht
8:1
Dec 18, 2019 KNVB Beker
Heracles vs Dordrecht
3:0
Apr 4, 2015 Eredivisie
Dordrecht vs Heracles
2:3
Dec 12, 2014 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Dordrecht
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dordrecht 10 / 100
Heracles 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dordrecht Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heracles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Dordrecht scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Heracles conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Dordrecht has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dordrecht VS Heracles
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dordrecht

(Home)
02 Nov
Jong Utrecht
3 : 2
Dordrecht
28 Oct
Genemuiden
3 : 2
Dordrecht
24 Oct
Dordrecht
2 : 4
Venlo
19 Oct
Jong PSV
0 : 1
Dordrecht
09 Oct
Dordrecht
0 : 3
FC Emmen
Page 1 of 6

Heracles

(Away)
02 Nov
Heracles
2 : 0
TOP Oss
29 Oct
De Treffers
1 : 0
Heracles
23 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 1
Heracles
18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5
Heracles
09 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0
Waalwijk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 13 10 2 1 39:14 32
2 Venlo 13 9 1 3 36:21 28
3 Almere City 13 8 1 4 27:13 25
4 Roda 13 7 4 2 17:12 25
5 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
6 NAC Breda 13 7 3 3 25:20 24
7 FC Volendam 13 6 1 6 30:22 19
8 Den Bosch 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 13 5 2 6 32:28 17
11 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
12 Waalwijk 13 3 7 3 22:19 16
13 Jong PSV 13 4 4 5 17:21 16
14 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
15 TOP Oss 13 4 1 8 19:22 13
16 Jong Ajax 13 3 4 6 19:30 13
17 Helmond Sport 13 3 3 7 23:28 12
18 Eindhoven FC 13 3 2 8 18:28 11
19 Dordrecht 13 3 2 8 18:34 11
20 Jong Utrecht 13 3 1 9 22:33 10
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)