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Dordrecht vs NAC Breda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Balard M. In: Ghalidi B.
Out: Balard M.
53'
Lechkar A.
56'
Greiml L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Dordrecht
30%
Draws
51%
NAC Breda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: NAC Breda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Dordrecht haven't matched NAC Breda's recent run of results.
  • Model gives NAC Breda a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dordrecht NAC Breda
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.35 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs NAC Breda
0:0
Apr 12, 2024 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Dordrecht
1:4
Aug 11, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs NAC Breda
2:2
Feb 24, 2023 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Dordrecht
3:2
Oct 22, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs NAC Breda
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dordrecht 10 / 100
NAC Breda 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dordrecht NAC Breda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Breda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NAC Breda has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Dordrecht's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Dordrecht has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dordrecht VS NAC Breda
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dordrecht

(Home)
06 Nov
Dordrecht
0 : 0
NAC Breda
02 Nov
Jong Utrecht
3 : 2
Dordrecht
28 Oct
Genemuiden
3 : 2
Dordrecht
24 Oct
Dordrecht
2 : 4
Venlo
19 Oct
Jong PSV
0 : 1
Dordrecht
Page 1 of 7

NAC Breda

(Away)
06 Nov
Dordrecht
0 : 0
NAC Breda
02 Nov
Jong PSV
0 : 2
NAC Breda
28 Oct
Watergraafsmeer
1 : 3
NAC Breda
23 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 1
Heracles
16 Oct
Helmond Sport
0 : 2
NAC Breda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 14 11 2 1 44:15 35
2 Venlo 14 9 2 3 37:22 29
3 Almere City 14 9 1 4 30:14 28
4 NAC Breda 14 7 4 3 25:20 25
5 Roda 14 7 4 3 18:17 25
6 FC Emmen 14 8 1 5 26:26 25
7 FC Volendam 14 7 1 6 33:24 22
8 Maastricht 14 6 2 6 19:29 20
9 Den Bosch 14 5 4 5 24:22 19
10 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
11 Waalwijk 14 3 8 3 23:20 17
12 Jong AZ Alkmaar 14 5 2 7 33:31 17
13 Jong PSV 14 4 5 5 18:22 17
14 Jong Ajax 14 4 4 6 22:30 16
15 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
16 TOP Oss 14 4 2 8 20:23 14
17 Helmond Sport 14 3 3 8 25:31 12
18 Dordrecht 14 3 3 8 18:34 12
19 Jong Utrecht 14 3 2 9 23:34 11
20 Eindhoven FC 14 3 2 9 18:31 11
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)