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Dordrecht vs Roda

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
Fri, Aug 21, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dordrecht host Roda in the Eerste Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Roda have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Dordrecht have conceded 1.67 and scored 1.43. Head-to-head, Dordrecht have won 3 to Roda's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.94) point toward Dordrecht. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Dordrecht
20%
Draws
23%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dordrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dordrecht lately — more wins on the board than Roda.
  • Win probability leans Dordrecht's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Roda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dordrecht Roda
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Roda
0:3
Nov 25, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Dordrecht
1:2
Feb 14, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Roda
2:1
Dec 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Dordrecht
0:1
Feb 9, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Dordrecht
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dordrecht 74 / 100
Roda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dordrecht Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dordrecht Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Dordrecht found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dordrecht remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dordrecht VS Roda
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dordrecht

(Home)
07 Aug
Dordrecht
2 : 1
Jong Ajax
01 Aug
Dordrecht
0 : 2
Anderlecht U23
25 Jul
Dordrecht
2 : 2
Al Khaleej
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
14 Jul
Dordrecht
4 : 1
Dortmund II
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Roda

(Away)
07 Aug
FC Emmen
1 : 0
Roda
01 Aug
Roda
2 : 4
Alemannia Aachen
17 Jul
Roda
1 : 0
Beerschot VA
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1
Roda
03 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 1
Roda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
2 Jong PSV 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Dordrecht 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Maastricht 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 NAC Breda 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Eindhoven FC 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 FC Emmen 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 De Graafschap 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Den Bosch 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Helmond Sport 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Almere City 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Waalwijk 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Venlo 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
15 FC Volendam 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
16 TOP Oss 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
17 Jong Ajax 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Jong Utrecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
19 Roda 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Jong AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)