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Dordrecht vs Roda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Nisbet J.
46'
Sub
Rossi N. In: Roman L.
Out: Rossi N.
46'
Sub
Hardley B. In: van Aken J.
Out: Hardley B.

AI Match Summary

Roda in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Roda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Dordrecht
15%
Draws
69%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Roda lately — more wins on the board than Dordrecht.
  • Win probability leans Roda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 12%
Roda Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dordrecht Roda
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Roda
0:1
Apr 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Roda
0:3
Nov 25, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Dordrecht
1:2
Feb 14, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Roda
2:1
Dec 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Dordrecht
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dordrecht Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer Nisbet J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dordrecht 10 / 100
Roda 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dordrecht Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dordrecht's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Roda conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dordrecht remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dordrecht VS Roda
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dordrecht

(Home)
02 Nov
Jong Utrecht
3 : 2
Dordrecht
28 Oct
Genemuiden
3 : 2
Dordrecht
24 Oct
Dordrecht
2 : 4
Venlo
19 Oct
Jong PSV
0 : 1
Dordrecht
09 Oct
Dordrecht
0 : 3
FC Emmen
Page 1 of 6

Roda

(Away)
30 Oct
Roda
2 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
27 Oct
Roda
1 : 0
De Graafschap
23 Oct
Almere City
2 : 3
Roda
19 Oct
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2
Roda
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1
Jong PSV
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 13 10 2 1 39:14 32
2 Venlo 13 9 1 3 36:21 28
3 Almere City 13 8 1 4 27:13 25
4 Roda 13 7 4 2 17:12 25
5 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
6 NAC Breda 13 7 3 3 25:20 24
7 FC Volendam 13 6 1 6 30:22 19
8 Den Bosch 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 13 5 2 6 32:28 17
11 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
12 Waalwijk 13 3 7 3 22:19 16
13 Jong PSV 13 4 4 5 17:21 16
14 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
15 TOP Oss 13 4 1 8 19:22 13
16 Jong Ajax 13 3 4 6 19:30 13
17 Helmond Sport 13 3 3 7 23:28 12
18 Eindhoven FC 13 3 2 8 18:28 11
19 Dordrecht 13 3 2 8 18:34 11
20 Jong Utrecht 13 3 1 9 22:33 10
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)